NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	94		Excitement	4.0 [618]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +16.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	88		Comeback	1.0 [662]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): -20.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.16	-0.02	0.11	-0.08	16	61%	0.21	5	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
David Robinson	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.05	0.03	9	77%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jaren Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.02	16	62%	0.09	1	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Mario Elie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jerome Kersey	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.19	-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	9	30%	-0.10	5	-0.09	2	0%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	-0.02	0.03	17	73%	0.12	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.04	4	90%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	8	44%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21	-0.21	-0.22	-0.07	-0.09	13	24%	-0.07	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	28.5	16.0	25.1	1.7	33.2	129.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.0%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +4.9%

LAC -0.2%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	17.6	15.8	109.3	101.1	99.6
season	15.9	16.7		101.1	97.5
opponent	14.7	15.9		107.0	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.2	13.3	17.6	16.7	15.7
LAC	19.9	19.4	15.1	16.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	50	51	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-4	14	16.7	14.4	2.30	17.6	17.5	0.15
Tim Duncan	66	68	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	-2	10	16.3	13.6	2.67	17.8	16.7	1.09
Antonio Daniels	36	36	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-4	14	14.6	16.5	-1.87	16.9	18.0	-1.09
Jerome Kersey	57	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.58	-8	14	-22	15.9	15.3	0.58	16.8	19.0	-2.21
David Robinson	41	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.21	17	-11	28	14.8	16.5	-1.71	19.1	16.0	3.16
Will Perdue	38	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.40	-6	12	-18	16.6	15.0	1.67	16.0	18.7	-2.66
Sean Elliott	29	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.25	14	-8	22	15.3	15.9	-0.58	19.0	16.8	2.21
Avery Johnson	50	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.23	-4	10	-14	16.5	14.6	1.87	18.0	16.9	1.09
Malik Rose	26	25	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.30	-7	13	-20	14.7	16.1	-1.44	16.4	18.0	-1.61
Mario Elie	12	13	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	1	4	12.9	16.1	-3.23	21.7	16.9	4.83
Gerard King	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	6	-6	2.0	15.9	-13.86	0.0	17.6	-17.59
Steve Kerr	24	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.24	-9	15	-24	15.1	15.9	-0.85	15.1	18.5	-3.34

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	34	33	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.73	28	-34	62	15.6	18.8	-3.23	17.5	14.5	3.00
Tyrone Nesby	36	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-4	2	16.7	18.2	-1.52	15.6	15.7	-0.10
Lamond Murray	25	25	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	4	-14	19.2	16.9	2.26	14.2	16.3	-2.06
Michael Olowokandi	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.35	-22	16	-38	18.9	16.4	2.55	14.4	16.9	-2.50
Rodney Rogers	35	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-1	-4	17.7	17.5	0.26	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	79	78	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.43	4	-10	14	17.2	21.4	-4.17	16.0	12.6	3.39
Lorenzen Wright	55	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.67	12	-18	30	17.0	18.6	-1.64	17.1	13.2	3.90
Maurice Taylor	42	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.39	-29	23	-52	19.0	16.2	2.83	14.0	17.3	-3.32
Troy Hudson	87	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	17.6	0.0	17.59	15.7	0.0	15.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.31,0.46,0.14,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, SEA 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.14,0.02,0	94.6%
DAL 102, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.37,0.06,0.05,0	93.5%
MIA 104, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.24,0.55,0.33,0.08,0	92.8%