NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	78		Excitement	5.1 [820]		MVP	Trey Lyles (DEN): +10.5%
Denver Nuggets	87		Comeback	3.5 [706]		LVP	JaMychal Green (MEM): -14.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis III	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	57%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	19	51%	0.05	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Mario Chalmers	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andrew Harrison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Deyonta Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	13	46%	0.07	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	9	28%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.05	-0.06	13	52%	0.13	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01
Nikola Jokic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.04
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	9	43%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	46%	-0.02	2	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Will Barton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	61%	0.09	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.2	24.6	14.6	27.6	1.8	33.2	132.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +9.9%

DEN +20.1%

DEN +18.0%

MEM -0.8%

DEN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	14.7	88.6	95.6	107.5
season	15.4	14.7		103.4	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		109.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.5	18.1	16.1	12.3	15.7
DEN	16.3	14.6	17.4	17.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Selden	6	6	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-12	15	14.8	15.7	-0.89	17.8	16.4	1.42
Andrew Harrison	52	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-15	21	16.3	14.7	1.54	17.1	15.7	1.40
Marc Gasol	67	67	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-13	17	15.5	16.2	-0.76	17.2	14.6	2.61
Jarell Martin	36	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-12	15	15.8	15.6	0.20	15.9	16.9	-1.03
Ben McLemore	10	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-7	5	13.2	16.0	-2.77	16.0	16.6	-0.57
Dillon Brooks	65	68	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-15	21	15.1	17.2	-2.11	17.0	15.0	2.07
JaMychal Green	38	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	1	-11	15.1	16.1	-1.02	17.6	15.6	2.00
Deyonta Davis	22	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	5	-19	18.7	14.6	4.09	13.8	17.4	-3.64
Mario Chalmers	38	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	2	-13	15.1	16.1	-1.07	15.8	17.0	-1.18
James Ennis III	49	50	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.00	-17	8	-25	16.8	14.3	2.47	15.1	18.2	-3.12
Tyreke Evans	57	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	4	-17	15.0	16.8	-1.77	16.9	15.8	1.10

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Beasley	46	45	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-10	29	15.3	17.7	-2.39	16.0	15.3	0.61
Richard Jefferson	37	35	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-7	23	15.5	17.2	-1.72	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Kenneth Faried	30	28	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-7	23	15.0	17.2	-2.25	15.5	15.7	-0.29
Will Barton	78	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	0	9	16.4	16.9	-0.49	15.0	19.3	-4.28
Trey Lyles	55	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	3	3	16.6	16.3	0.28	14.7	17.1	-2.42
Nikola Jokic	51	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.04	8	1	7	16.6	16.4	0.14	16.7	14.3	2.41
Wilson Chandler	54	53	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	16	-23	17.2	15.5	1.72	15.7	15.5	0.19
Jamal Murray	59	57	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.28	-10	19	-29	17.5	14.6	2.90	16.2	14.6	1.57
Mason Plumlee	45	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.22	-12	21	-33	17.3	15.7	1.55	15.8	15.5	0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 69, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.95,1,1,1	93.6%
UTA 94, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	93.5%
DET 110, NJN 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1	93.4%