NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	6.2 [561]		MVP	Quincy Pondexter (MEM): +17.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	103		Comeback	2.6 [680]		LVP	Marvin Williams (UTA): -8.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.06	13	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.04	17	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	19	45%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	8	74%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.03	0.03	11	69%	0.14	0	0.00	10	100%	0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	19	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	73%	0.14	3	-0.10	2	50%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	17	36%	-0.04	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	31%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	27.4	15.5	26.6	2.5	32.5	133.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +12.3%

MEM +17.3%

MEM +7.2%

MEM +11.0%

MEM +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	14.8	14.4	15.4	94.9	105.1	104.1
season	16.0	16.5		104.6	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.9	14.5	15.7	15.4	14.8
MEM	15.5	12.7	13.0	16.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	12	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-6	3	14.9	14.8	0.08	13.2	14.5	-1.30
Alec Burks	14	13	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-3	-3	13.7	15.0	-1.32	14.2	14.4	-0.27
Paul Millsap	66	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-8	7	15.4	13.8	1.59	15.3	12.6	2.76
Al Jefferson	61	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-12	15	14.2	15.8	-1.57	13.8	15.3	-1.50
Marvin Williams	62	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-10	11	15.2	14.2	0.97	14.7	13.9	0.84
Enes Kanter	25	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	0	-9	14.4	15.0	-0.60	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Mo Williams	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-5	1	14.4	16.9	-2.49	14.0	16.3	-2.31
Gordon Hayward	75	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-6	3	15.1	14.2	0.90	14.4	14.4	-0.00
Randy Foye	46	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	15.3	14.5	0.81	15.1	13.8	1.23
Derrick Favors	53	53	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.16	-14	5	-19	15.0	14.7	0.24	14.2	14.6	-0.31

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.16	11	-2	13	13.6	16.9	-3.30	14.6	15.8	-1.27
Tony Allen	55	55	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-3	15	13.8	15.2	-1.38	14.9	14.7	0.22
Mike Conley	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	3	3	14.1	15.0	-0.82	15.0	14.4	0.64
Marreese Speights	43	43	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-2	13	14.8	14.1	0.76	15.2	14.6	0.68
Quincy Pondexter	44	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	6	-3	15.6	13.4	2.14	14.8	14.9	-0.01
Zach Randolph	77	77	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	11	-13	14.9	12.3	2.61	15.0	14.3	0.68
Jerryd Bayless	29	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	6	-3	15.0	14.1	0.82	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Wayne Ellington	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	3	3	12.9	15.0	-2.07	14.6	15.0	-0.39
Rudy Gay	71	72	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	14	-19	14.6	13.7	0.94	14.8	15.0	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.63,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.81,0.86,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.2%
MEM 78, DEN 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1	93.5%
PHX 99, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,1,1,1	93.4%