NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	6.9 [427]		MVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): +22.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	108		Comeback	2.7 [671]		LVP	Monta Ellis (MIL): -19.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	8	40%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	56%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Markieff Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.01	0.05	15	60%	0.06	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	67%	0.06	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	33%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	7	36%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.05	0.04	15	81%	0.29	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	7	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	47%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	53%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.19	-0.01	-0.00	19	32%	-0.07	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	30.3	15.6	23.5	2.4	33.5	129.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +48.0%

PHX -6.8%

PHX -1.9%

MIL +9.6%

MIL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.4	105.3	111.3	104.1
season	15.2	14.7		99.7	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		103.9	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.6	15.3	16.5	15.5	15.2
MIL	15.2	14.1	12.9	18.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	63	63	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-14	19	14.3	17.1	-2.75	15.3	14.3	1.04
Goran Dragic	65	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.19	5	-14	19	13.9	18.1	-4.21	15.6	13.4	2.13
PJ Tucker	58	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-9	9	14.3	16.6	-2.29	15.6	13.8	1.80
Marcin Gortat	70	73	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-13	17	14.3	18.0	-3.67	14.8	15.2	-0.41
Wesley Johnson	11	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-1	-7	16.7	15.0	1.70	12.5	15.3	-2.77
Jared Dudley	83	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-8	7	15.0	16.7	-1.70	15.3	12.5	2.77
Jermaine O'Neal	24	24	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	4	-17	18.0	14.3	3.67	15.2	14.8	0.41
Shannon Brown	36	38	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.18	-9	0	-9	16.6	14.3	2.29	13.8	15.6	-1.80
Sebastian Telfair	29	29	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.05	-14	5	-19	18.1	13.9	4.21	13.4	15.6	-2.13
Markieff Morris	31	34	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	5	-19	17.1	14.3	2.75	14.3	15.3	-1.04

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	38	36	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-4	17	14.9	14.9	0.02	15.9	14.8	1.17
Beno Udrih	35	35	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	-3	15	14.0	15.5	-1.42	17.0	14.2	2.83
Ekpe Udoh	43	40	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	14.7	15.1	-0.43	16.5	14.3	2.22
Monta Ellis	81	79	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	7	-5	15.9	10.2	5.61	14.6	18.3	-3.70
Mike Dunleavy	48	45	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	4	1	15.7	14.2	1.44	16.0	14.5	1.53
Brandon Jennings	78	74	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	5	-1	14.4	17.2	-2.83	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Luc Mbah a Moute	54	53	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	7	-5	14.2	15.8	-1.61	14.5	16.1	-1.59
Larry Sanders	54	54	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	10	-11	15.1	14.7	0.43	14.3	16.5	-2.22
Ersan Ilyasova	54	54	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	11	-13	15.0	14.9	0.14	14.8	15.8	-1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
LAC 109, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
UTA 94, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.86,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.95,1,1,1	93.4%