NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	110		Excitement	6.0 [601]		MVP	Yi Jianlian (NJN): +42.3%
New Jersey Nets	118		Comeback	2.7 [500]		LVP	Will Bynum (DET): -11.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Villanueva	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.06	-0.00	8	87%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.20	0.04	0.07	18	75%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	57%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jonas Jerebko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	8	53%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Ben Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	16	51%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	29%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.26	0.17	0.00	16	79%	0.42	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.31	0.12	0.08	17	86%	0.37	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.04
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.02	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.05	0.02	7	65%	0.12	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.02	0.02	3	70%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Josh Boone	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	58%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.8	28.6	15.7	22.6	2.4	43.9	138.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +60.3%

NJN +0.8%

NJN +6.5%

DET -13.6%

DET -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.5	15.3	117.0	124.2	106.0
season	16.8	15.9		104.0	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.7	16.9	17.9	12.9	16.0
NJN	16.6	16.6	14.9	11.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	39	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-5	2	18.4	14.3	4.06	16.2	13.2	2.98
Austin Daye	21	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	17.0	15.7	1.21	12.3	15.1	-2.81
Kwame Brown	21	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-4	0	17.0	15.7	1.21	12.2	15.1	-2.93
Jonas Jerebko	53	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-7	6	16.4	15.6	0.80	15.0	13.8	1.21
Richard Hamilton	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-5	2	15.7	16.5	-0.87	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Charlie Villanueva	37	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	16.5	15.7	0.87	15.4	13.8	1.58
Ben Gordon	41	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-1	-6	15.6	16.4	-0.80	13.8	15.0	-1.21
Jason Maxiell	73	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-4	0	15.7	17.0	-1.21	15.1	12.2	2.93
Tayshaun Prince	73	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	15.7	17.0	-1.21	15.1	12.3	2.81
Rodney Stuckey	55	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	14.3	18.4	-4.06	13.2	16.2	-2.98

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrence Williams	61	60	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	13.0	17.1	-4.07	14.6	18.4	-3.81
Yi Jianlian	72	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	4	0	15.7	10.7	5.04	16.2	15.4	0.80
Keyon Dooling	46	43	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	0	8	11.6	17.1	-5.51	14.5	17.3	-2.81
Brook Lopez	80	80	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	3	2	14.5	14.4	0.09	16.1	15.5	0.60
Jarvis Hayes	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.24	2	6	-4	14.8	13.9	0.95	15.9	16.2	-0.39
Kris Humphries	24	24	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	4	0	13.2	14.9	-1.64	16.7	15.8	0.99
Chris Douglas-Roberts	23	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	6	-4	15.7	14.1	1.67	16.3	15.9	0.33
Devin Harris	56	58	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	6	-4	15.3	13.3	2.02	15.9	16.1	-0.21
Courtney Lee	46	45	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	4	0	15.7	13.3	2.45	18.4	13.8	4.63
Josh Boone	9	9	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	7	-6	15.0	14.4	0.58	16.9	15.9	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, MIA 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
WAS 87, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.1%
GSW 89, POR 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1	93.8%