NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	6.1 [569]		MVP	Nene (DEN): +24.4%
Denver Nuggets	97		Comeback	2.0 [1034]		LVP	Mike Miller (WAS): -16.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Singleton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.02	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	80%	0.10	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Nick Young	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	19	51%	0.08	2	-0.08	7	43%	-0.04
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.03	9	59%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	31%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Randy Foye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	6	15%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	8	28%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.11	-0.01	7	73%	0.24	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.07	-0.03	3	117%	0.16	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	9	40%	-0.06	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	-0.06	0.08	26	51%	-0.01	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	31.8	15.7	29.3	2.4	33.3	141.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +33.4%

DEN +13.6%

WAS -5.8%

DEN +6.7%

DEN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.3	97.8	106.6	106.0
season	15.7	14.4		102.6	110.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.3	17.0	18.7	17.3	17.3
DEN	15.0	15.0	12.1	17.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	34	37	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-15	20	16.6	17.8	-1.26	14.8	14.6	0.15
JaVale McGee	44	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-15	20	16.9	17.8	-0.89	13.9	15.4	-1.58
Nick Young	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-13	16	18.3	16.9	1.44	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Randy Foye	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-5	0	18.2	16.8	1.39	12.6	16.0	-3.40
Alonzo Gee	51	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	16.8	18.0	-1.20	14.3	15.1	-0.82
Andray Blatche	64	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	17.9	16.0	1.86	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Earl Boykins	19	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-2	-6	17.2	17.4	-0.23	17.6	13.9	3.71
Mike Miller	74	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	16.6	21.2	-4.65	14.8	14.0	0.83
James Singleton	47	48	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	5	-20	18.2	16.4	1.86	14.9	14.4	0.52
Al Thornton	47	49	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.07	-16	6	-22	17.4	17.3	0.05	15.9	13.3	2.66

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	81	78	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	4	2	14.6	15.2	-0.57	17.2	18.4	-1.17
Nene	67	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	1	8	15.1	13.5	1.56	16.6	19.3	-2.73
Anthony Carter	46	45	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	3	4	15.3	14.1	1.19	16.9	17.8	-0.91
J.R. Smith	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	2	6	15.2	14.1	1.06	16.7	18.2	-1.55
Chauncey Billups	63	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	3	4	14.8	14.4	0.48	16.7	18.6	-1.91
Johan Petro	44	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	5	0	13.8	15.5	-1.65	19.1	15.8	3.35
Arron Afflalo	45	43	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	5	0	14.1	15.3	-1.24	18.2	16.5	1.69
Joey Graham	41	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	9	-8	14.5	14.8	-0.33	18.7	16.1	2.56
Malik Allen	17	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	8	-6	14.1	14.8	-0.71	16.3	17.6	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
ATL 99, MIA 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DET 110, NJN 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1	94.1%