inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 95 Excitement5.9 [634] MVPChris Bosh (MIA): +17.0%
Miami Heat 109 Comeback3.2 [613] LVPLou Amundson (NYK): -10.7%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.05-0.00770%0.1400.006100%0.04
Carmelo Anthony0.030,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.11-0.040.042058%0.0300.00580%0.01
Jason Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.00-0.01764%0.062-0.0400%0.00
Cole Aldrich0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Quincy Acy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01550%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Lance Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.02650%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.00267%0.042-0.082100%0.02
Shane Larkin-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02525%-0.051-0.00250%-0.01
Langston Galloway-0.060,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.040.031143%-0.0600.001100%0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.03831%-0.032-0.0500%0.00
Lou Amundson-0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.020.01932%-0.072-0.0410%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.130.070.032363%0.212-0.04580%-0.00
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.090.00475%0.1600.004100%0.03
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.030.01671%0.101-0.03250%-0.01
Hassan Whiteside0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.01470%0.071-0.03250%-0.00
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00362%0.0400.002100%0.01
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.05-0.010.02686%0.093-0.082100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Justin Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.030.010.071456%0.022-0.05475%-0.02
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.05-0.00950%-0.033-0.056100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.633.216.428.53.429.7141.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +54.6%
NYK -1.5%
NYK -8.8%
MIA +5.3%
MIA +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKMIANBANYKMIANBA
this game16.415.315.1104.4119.8104.2
season16.116.098.5102.4
opponent15.315.0105.4108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK14.716.415.020.216.4
MIA17.313.013.817.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Langston Galloway45460.09-0.590.68-0.2913-274015.717.1-1.3816.114.41.71
Quincy Acy56-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-151611.816.7-4.8518.015.12.93
Cole Aldrich56-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-151611.816.7-4.8518.015.12.93
Carmelo Anthony6364-0.01-0.490.47-0.103-172015.618.1-2.4914.716.7-2.05
Lou Amundson4746-0.12-0.380.270.00-4-10614.718.2-3.5215.415.10.35
Amar'e Stoudemire3435-0.18-0.320.14-0.01-6-8218.914.93.9414.615.7-1.08
Jose Calderon5354-0.20-0.300.10-0.05-5-9415.218.0-2.7315.215.4-0.19
Andrea Bargnani2826-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-11-3-816.916.20.6813.516.0-2.47
Tim Hardaway Jr.3937-0.35-0.15-0.200.21-195-2416.516.30.2715.415.20.24
Jason Smith5655-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.15-10-4-617.215.12.0215.914.21.68
Lance Thomas3232-0.45-0.05-0.390.05-173-2017.715.62.1116.214.71.47
Shane Larkin4848-0.540.04-0.58-0.07-162-1818.014.63.3314.416.2-1.75

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh69710.67-0.170.850.0621-72815.514.51.0116.615.70.88
Mario Chalmers65670.65-0.150.800.0919-52415.813.91.9316.615.80.75
Chris Andersen48490.390.110.29-0.0515-11615.415.10.3717.914.63.32
Norris Cole53530.360.140.23-0.021311215.215.4-0.1817.614.72.92
Danny Granger40390.310.190.130.1759-414.515.9-1.3618.414.93.50
Tyler Johnson23220.130.37-0.240.01410-613.515.9-2.3916.516.30.21
Hassan Whiteside38380.100.40-0.300.07113-1215.315.20.0914.417.8-3.37
Luol Deng66660.010.49-0.48-0.1668-215.415.00.4215.319.2-3.94
Udonis Haslem540.010.49-0.490.07-216-1813.215.4-2.1816.216.4-0.14
Justin Hamilton430.000.50-0.500.09-317-2016.715.21.5513.016.5-3.50
Shabazz Napier4443-0.150.65-0.790.12-923-3215.515.10.4114.318.3-4.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 110, NJN 1180.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,194.1%
CHI 112, CLE 1190.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.64,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.6,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,193.4%
DAL 95, SAS 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,193.0%