NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	112		Excitement	6.6 [539]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +32.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Comeback	3.2 [1060]		LVP	JR Smith (CLE): -14.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.16	0.04	-0.01	17	62%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	10	65%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	-0.02	0.01	12	79%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	8	63%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.07
Quincy Pondexter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kay Felder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
David Nwaba	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.32	0.32	0.23	0.08	-0.01	20	76%	0.34	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	7	79%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.03	0.00	6	80%	0.16	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.01	10	55%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	3	114%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	16	56%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	8	19%	-0.08	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.8	23.3	15.4	26.4	1.7	30.4	123.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +30.0%

CHI -0.7%

CLE +4.6%

CLE +16.3%

CHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	14.7	120.4	125.3	107.5
season	14.2	14.8		103.2	111.2
opponent	14.7	15.0		110.6	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.8	16.8	15.0	16.6	15.5
CLE	13.9	15.2	15.7	16.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	55	54	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.22	10	-17	27	15.9	14.7	1.21	17.4	12.3	5.01
Justin Holiday	70	71	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.19	8	-15	23	14.8	17.6	-2.81	16.2	12.2	3.93
Jerian Grant	60	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.27	2	-9	11	15.8	14.7	1.12	16.9	12.1	4.88
Quincy Pondexter	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	1	-9	14.7	15.8	-1.06	11.9	16.8	-4.83
Lauri Markkanen	59	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-7	7	16.3	14.0	2.33	16.7	12.7	3.97
Kay Felder	33	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	2	-11	14.7	15.8	-1.12	12.1	16.9	-4.88
Denzel Valentine	35	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	1	-9	15.9	15.2	0.74	12.9	16.6	-3.70
David Nwaba	27	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	5	-17	13.3	16.3	-3.04	13.5	16.0	-2.53
Paul Zipser	62	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.43	-1	-6	5	16.4	13.5	2.85	16.1	13.5	2.57
Cristiano Felicio	33	36	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	10	-27	14.7	15.8	-1.12	12.6	16.8	-4.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	70	69	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	0	7	16.1	12.7	3.35	16.0	13.7	2.29
Kyle Korver	50	48	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	-3	13	13.1	17.5	-4.33	15.3	15.6	-0.37
Jeff Green	52	48	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	-3	13	12.9	17.9	-5.01	15.4	15.5	-0.12
Jae Crowder	57	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	6	-5	16.8	12.7	4.13	15.5	15.4	0.06
Kevin Love	54	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	6	-5	16.7	13.2	3.51	15.7	15.0	0.75
JR Smith	60	59	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.30	1	6	-5	17.1	12.0	5.10	15.6	15.3	0.29
Dwyane Wade	41	39	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	-1	9	12.7	17.1	-4.41	15.5	15.4	0.15
Tristan Thompson	42	42	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	11	-15	17.8	13.2	4.61	15.7	15.2	0.48
Channing Frye	18	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	3	1	12.2	15.9	-3.66	12.7	16.1	-3.36
Iman Shumpert	31	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	10	-13	12.5	16.5	-3.92	14.7	15.8	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.64,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.6,0.66,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, MIA 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.4%
NOH 76, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.96,1	91.8%
DET 98, OKC 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	91.7%