NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	76		Excitement	6.0 [601]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +11.7%
Atlanta Hawks	84		Comeback	2.9 [679]		LVP	David Wesley (NOH): -18.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	5	87%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
David West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
P.J. Brown	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	9	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Shammond Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	14	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	12	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	17	40%	-0.15	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.01	10	70%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	12	62%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	19	55%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Hansen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	17	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	8	35%	-0.06	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	25.3	15.8	22.4	1.8	28.4	121.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +56.8%

NOH -6.9%

ATL +14.4%

NOH -10.4%

NOH -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	ATL	NBA	NOH	ATL	NBA
this game	19.2	16.0	15.7	93.8	101.2	100.5
season	16.0	15.3		99.3	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.0	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.9	21.2	20.6	19.7	19.2
ATL	15.4	17.8	14.6	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	43	45	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.04	6	-14	20	17.0	21.6	-4.56	16.2	15.7	0.49
P.J. Brown	56	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-9	10	18.5	20.8	-2.34	16.1	15.7	0.35
David Wesley	66	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.22	2	-10	12	18.2	23.4	-5.17	16.3	14.7	1.60
Jamaal Magloire	61	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-10	12	18.6	21.0	-2.48	16.0	16.0	-0.03
Darrell Armstrong	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-9	10	18.4	21.3	-2.90	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Shammond Williams	21	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	1	-10	21.3	18.4	2.90	16.5	15.8	0.71
Robert Traylor	20	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	2	-12	21.0	18.6	2.48	16.0	16.0	0.03
David West	24	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	1	-10	21.6	18.2	3.47	16.4	15.8	0.66
Steven Smith	20	22	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	4	-16	21.9	18.3	3.67	15.1	16.3	-1.20
George Lynch	34	34	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	4	-16	21.6	17.4	4.14	15.1	16.6	-1.45

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	54	53	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.39	12	-4	16	15.2	17.4	-2.26	20.4	16.9	3.45
Bob Sura	78	75	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-4	16	15.7	20.0	-4.28	18.8	24.0	-5.20
Boris Diaw	32	31	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-5	18	15.0	16.6	-1.59	20.9	18.1	2.78
Chris Crawford	66	66	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	6	-4	16.5	14.1	2.41	19.7	17.1	2.52
Jacque Vaughn	10	10	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.17	2	6	-4	14.5	16.2	-1.68	22.3	18.7	3.55
Travis Hansen	18	17	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	2	4	16.1	16.0	0.10	20.3	18.9	1.40
Stephen Jackson	61	59	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	9	-10	16.2	15.2	1.02	17.9	22.6	-4.68
Jason Terry	60	60	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	12	-16	16.5	14.5	2.01	18.8	20.2	-1.36
Mamadou N'diaye	36	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	10	-12	16.7	15.4	1.22	17.1	20.7	-3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.93,0.85,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.93,0.93,0.78,0.98,1	92.9%
NYK 95, MIA 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
DET 110, NJN 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.73,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1	92.5%