NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	111		Excitement	5.4 [758]		MVP	Gary Harris (DEN): +19.8%
Denver Nuggets	134		Comeback	2.7 [890]		LVP	Marquese Chriss (PHX): -9.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dragan Bender	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.03	-0.07	7	64%	0.14	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	8	78%	0.06	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
TJ Warren	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	16	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Marquese Chriss	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	13	53%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Harris	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.27	0.03	0.10	17	92%	0.30	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.01	0.01	9	94%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.04	-0.05	6	82%	0.20	6	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.07	0.04	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.03
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	11	62%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	26.2	14.7	30.0	0.6	27.6	125.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +66.0%

DEN +11.6%

PHX -6.5%

PHX -19.6%

PHX -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	12.2	14.7	106.7	130.1	107.5
season	14.2	14.7		102.6	111.2
opponent	14.7	14.3		109.9	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.2	17.1	18.1	13.5	15.6
DEN	11.1	14.8	11.1	12.2	12.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Jackson	51	52	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.05	8	-31	39	14.7	16.5	-1.82	13.6	10.8	2.75
Danuel House	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-18	13	9.2	16.1	-6.88	13.2	12.1	1.12
Greg Monroe	72	72	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-21	19	16.6	13.3	3.34	12.7	11.2	1.46
Dragan Bender	48	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	-15	7	14.1	16.8	-2.69	12.4	12.1	0.33
Tyler Ulis	34	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-14	5	16.1	15.3	0.77	11.7	12.4	-0.67
Isaiah Canaan	50	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-18	13	16.9	14.4	2.43	12.4	12.0	0.35
Marquese Chriss	69	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.33	-22	-1	-21	15.6	15.6	-0.05	12.1	12.4	-0.26
TJ Warren	69	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.18	-17	-6	-11	16.8	13.3	3.44	12.4	11.9	0.50
Alex Len	19	19	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	-9	-5	15.4	15.6	-0.21	10.4	12.6	-2.20
Troy Daniels	32	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.18	-22	-1	-21	14.2	16.2	-2.03	11.1	12.7	-1.58
Devin Booker	68	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.03	-19	-4	-15	15.3	16.1	-0.75	11.5	13.6	-2.15

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	79	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.10	23	0	23	11.7	13.7	-2.00	15.9	14.6	1.31
Gary Harris	66	67	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.20	24	-1	25	12.6	11.6	1.01	16.4	14.2	2.18
Will Barton	46	46	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	7	9	11.4	12.9	-1.45	15.1	16.0	-0.95
Mason Plumlee	46	47	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	9	5	13.4	11.3	2.13	17.7	13.9	3.76
Wilson Chandler	70	70	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	10	3	13.2	10.2	2.95	16.5	13.7	2.81
Torrey Craig	33	34	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	13	-3	10.2	13.2	-2.95	13.7	16.5	-2.81
Trey Lyles	60	59	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	20	-17	12.1	12.3	-0.19	15.2	16.1	-0.83
Jamal Murray	52	52	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	21	-19	13.0	11.4	1.63	16.8	14.3	2.50
Richard Jefferson	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	18	-13	11.2	12.3	-1.07	8.8	16.0	-7.18
Emmanuel Mudiay	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	18	-13	11.2	12.3	-1.07	8.8	16.0	-7.18
Malik Beasley	37	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	24	-25	11.6	12.6	-1.01	14.2	16.4	-2.18
Kenneth Faried	16	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	22	-21	11.7	12.3	-0.55	12.1	16.3	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
WAS 84, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%
POR 88, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%