NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	84		Excitement	4.0 [982]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +18.0%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	1.6 [745]		LVP	Chris Webber (WAS): -12.7%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.16	0.00	0.10	7	95%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	10	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	64%	0.10	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	8	58%	0.03	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.05	0.04	13	86%	0.22	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	14	71%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.02	-0.05	18	61%	0.13	3	-0.03	8	87%	-0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Mahorn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	10	50%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	22.6	16.6	21.2	2.5	30.2	118.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +22.2%

DET +4.8%

DET +5.4%

DET +16.9%

DET +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	15.8	19.3	15.6	102.4	115.9	104.4
season	14.8	17.1		104.3	107.6
opponent	16.2	15.8		102.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.1	15.2	15.2	15.6	15.8
DET	17.2	17.5	20.8	22.3	19.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy Murray	33	34	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.18	12	-23	35	15.7	15.9	-0.19	19.4	19.3	0.17
Jaren Jackson	41	41	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.24	13	-24	37	15.4	16.2	-0.78	19.7	19.0	0.78
Harvey Grant	39	37	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.24	9	-20	29	16.2	15.4	0.71	19.5	19.2	0.36
Chris Whitney	33	33	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-17	23	15.6	15.9	-0.24	20.5	18.6	1.86
Ben Wallace	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	12.2	16.0	-3.71	19.6	19.3	0.28
Ashraf Amaya	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	12.2	16.0	-3.71	19.6	19.3	0.28
Gheorghe Muresan	43	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-2	-7	16.3	15.3	1.00	19.8	18.8	0.92
Rod Strickland	53	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.00	-18	7	-25	15.7	15.9	-0.23	19.1	19.8	-0.70
Calbert Cheaney	45	44	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.00	-22	11	-33	16.1	15.4	0.63	18.7	20.1	-1.33
Chris Webber	59	57	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	0.03	-23	12	-35	16.2	14.8	1.33	19.0	20.0	-1.00
Juwan Howard	56	56	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	0.01	-25	14	-39	15.6	16.3	-0.72	18.9	20.4	-1.53

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	70	69	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-6	23	19.6	17.7	1.96	16.0	14.5	1.57
Otis Thorpe	68	67	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.11	18	-7	25	19.5	18.4	1.19	15.2	18.3	-3.04
Grant Long	68	67	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	-6	23	19.5	18.8	0.67	15.3	18.1	-2.88
Terry Mills	58	59	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-9	29	19.0	20.1	-1.05	16.7	13.5	3.14
Joe Dumars	67	67	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.15	24	-13	37	19.5	18.7	0.74	16.0	14.7	1.28
Lindsey Hunter	46	47	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	17	-23	18.6	20.2	-1.62	15.3	16.4	-1.03
Theo Ratliff	2	2	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	12	-13	30.5	19.1	11.44	21.0	15.6	5.35
Kenny Smith	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	18.0	19.4	-1.36	19.0	15.7	3.26
Rick Mahorn	4	5	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	19	-27	16.0	19.5	-3.51	21.4	15.4	5.98
Michael Curry	11	11	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.28	-16	27	-43	22.3	18.9	3.39	14.6	16.0	-1.32
Stacey Augmon	15	15	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	19	-27	16.7	19.9	-3.27	14.4	16.1	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 85, BOS 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
POR 88, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.9%
PHX 111, DEN 134	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%