NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	5.3 [770]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +20.1%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	2.0 [788]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -20.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Freeland	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	14	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	16	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	9	39%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	14	29%	-0.12	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.05	0.05	23	68%	0.25	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.01	11	55%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	21	38%	-0.03	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	16	45%	-0.03	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	27.8	15.5	29.5	2.5	34.5	135.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +42.7%

POR -7.5%

POR -6.8%

GSW +18.1%

GSW +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	GSW	NBA	POR	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	15.1	87.1	102.0	105.2
season	15.1	14.2		109.6	105.9
opponent	15.3	14.8		102.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	14.3	15.1	12.8	14.5
GSW	12.5	15.1	12.0	16.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Freeland	23	23	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-21	27	14.8	14.5	0.36	14.6	13.8	0.77
Earl Watson	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	16.0	14.5	1.48	17.7	13.9	3.81
Will Barton	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-15	15	16.0	14.5	1.48	17.7	13.9	3.81
Thomas Robinson	30	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-18	21	13.6	15.0	-1.39	15.1	13.5	1.58
CJ McCollum	43	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-16	17	13.2	15.5	-2.28	16.5	12.1	4.43
Wesley Matthews	79	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	-6	-3	14.1	16.1	-2.04	14.2	13.4	0.76
Mo Williams	65	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-11	7	14.0	15.5	-1.48	14.6	12.8	1.77
Robin Lopez	51	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-2	-11	15.6	13.5	2.07	12.8	15.1	-2.28
Damian Lillard	75	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	0	-15	14.4	14.9	-0.46	12.7	17.4	-4.74
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	3	-21	14.8	13.9	0.90	13.3	15.6	-2.31
Nicolas Batum	62	64	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	0.12	-26	11	-37	15.9	12.5	3.39	13.4	14.9	-1.54

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	80	80	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.02	23	-8	31	13.2	16.9	-3.70	14.8	13.5	1.29
Stephen Curry	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	3	9	12.4	18.9	-6.43	14.4	15.0	-0.60
David Lee	78	77	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-1	17	12.9	17.5	-4.60	14.8	13.7	1.15
Klay Thompson	82	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.07	18	-3	21	14.2	13.2	1.00	14.2	15.9	-1.73
Draymond Green	35	37	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	3	9	15.8	13.0	2.80	15.0	14.3	0.76
Harrison Barnes	57	56	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	18	-21	15.2	12.4	2.77	13.5	15.8	-2.26
Andrew Bogut	54	54	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	12	-9	12.8	15.4	-2.60	15.4	13.6	1.81
Kent Bazemore	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	19.0	13.9	5.13	16.0	14.5	1.48
MarShon Brooks	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	19.0	13.9	5.13	16.0	14.5	1.48
Jordan Crawford	29	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	16	-17	18.2	12.2	5.99	14.5	14.6	-0.11
Marreese Speights	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	20	-25	17.8	13.6	4.18	13.0	14.7	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
WAS 84, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%
TOR 96, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.72,0.81,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.93,1,1,1,1	94.1%