NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	90		Excitement	4.3 [980]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +10.6%
Utah Jazz	103		Comeback	2.0 [821]		LVP	Devin Brown (UTA): -10.4%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.05	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Francisco Elson	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.04	14	64%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julius Hodge	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	7	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	22	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	15	72%	0.17	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.04	0.06	11	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	12	64%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	73%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andre Owens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	9	60%	0.08	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	26.1	16.4	24.4	1.7	29.2	123.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.5%

UTA +11.4%

UTA +16.6%

DEN -16.6%

UTA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	UTA	NBA	DEN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	17.9	15.6	105.9	118.4	104.4
season	14.4	17.0		103.5	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.9		104.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.5	13.6	16.3	15.7	15.5
UTA	16.2	19.8	17.1	18.6	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	43	45	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.14	10	-23	33	15.2	15.9	-0.65	19.3	16.5	2.81
Julius Hodge	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	13.0	15.7	-2.72	22.0	17.6	4.42
Earl Watson	45	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.28	9	-22	31	15.6	15.5	0.06	18.4	17.4	0.93
Earl Boykins	32	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-15	17	15.6	15.5	0.15	17.8	18.0	-0.18
Linas Kleiza	16	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	12.5	16.2	-3.73	16.9	18.2	-1.23
Kenyon Martin	57	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-2	-9	16.1	14.5	1.59	18.4	17.0	1.32
Andre Miller	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	1	-15	16.0	14.3	1.63	18.4	16.7	1.63
Carmelo Anthony	61	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	5	-23	15.2	16.3	-1.12	16.8	20.7	-3.86
Greg Buckner	48	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.09	-21	8	-29	15.6	15.4	0.17	17.8	18.1	-0.22
Eduardo Najera	54	53	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	5	-23	16.1	14.5	1.65	16.6	20.0	-3.35

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith McLeod	53	54	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-7	27	18.4	17.3	1.09	16.4	14.0	2.46
Jarron Collins	58	57	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	-4	21	17.6	18.6	-1.03	16.0	14.6	1.38
Milt Palacio	56	55	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.01	17	-4	21	16.7	20.2	-3.51	15.6	15.4	0.20
Mehmet Okur	73	73	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-4	21	17.2	21.6	-4.42	15.7	14.6	1.10
Andrei Kirilenko	75	74	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	-1	15	18.7	13.4	5.24	15.5	15.8	-0.33
Kris Humphries	12	11	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	7	-1	14.8	18.4	-3.59	16.2	15.4	0.75
Deron Williams	55	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.15	-2	15	-17	17.8	18.2	-0.41	14.7	16.9	-2.26
Matt Harpring	36	35	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.15	-4	17	-21	17.6	18.2	-0.59	15.0	15.9	-0.95
Andre Owens	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	23.0	17.9	5.13	0.0	15.5	-15.53
Greg Ostertag	6	5	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.07	-8	21	-29	28.3	17.2	11.17	11.2	15.8	-4.60
Devin Brown	10	9	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	22	-31	23.5	17.2	6.29	14.8	15.6	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 88, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
PHX 111, DEN 134	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
OKC 99, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.4%