NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	5.2 [798]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (TOR): +17.4%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	2.9 [346]		LVP	Thabo Sefolosha (OKC): -13.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	14	56%	0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Nick Collison	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	14	52%	0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Maynor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	6	67%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	19	50%	0.05	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.03	-0.03	12	67%	0.18	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.14	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	13	50%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	4	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.05	20	59%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	44%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	57%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	10	48%	0.02	5	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	32.3	15.7	28.5	2.5	30.2	134.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +41.8%

OKC -3.6%

TOR +9.9%

TOR +0.3%

TOR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	TOR	NBA	OKC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	15.5	101.0	114.4	105.7
season	15.0	15.1		108.8	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.6		111.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.2	14.1	16.8	13.5	14.7
TOR	14.0	15.9	12.0	17.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	18	20	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-18	24	14.3	14.8	-0.51	14.8	14.8	0.01
DJ White	9	10	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-16	20	17.3	14.4	2.91	16.2	14.7	1.51
Byron Mullens	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	10.6	15.0	-4.44	10.7	15.2	-4.46
Royal Ivey	18	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-12	12	12.6	15.2	-2.62	17.9	14.1	3.86
Eric Maynor	37	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-11	10	15.0	14.5	0.45	14.3	15.2	-0.83
Serge Ibaka	46	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-5	-2	13.9	15.4	-1.47	13.6	16.0	-2.41
Nick Collison	43	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-8	4	16.2	13.5	2.62	14.2	15.3	-1.04
James Harden	58	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-6	0	14.8	14.6	0.16	16.7	12.4	4.39
Nenad Krstic	28	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	1	-14	16.9	13.8	3.08	13.0	15.7	-2.72
Russell Westbrook	66	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	2	-16	14.7	14.7	0.01	15.3	14.0	1.30
Thabo Sefolosha	83	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	0	-12	14.1	17.8	-3.67	14.5	16.4	-1.83
Jeff Green	77	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	3	-18	14.6	15.0	-0.33	15.0	14.4	0.56

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	51	52	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.02	19	-7	26	12.6	17.3	-4.72	15.2	14.1	1.18
Andrea Bargnani	83	85	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.03	17	-5	22	14.6	16.4	-1.77	14.9	13.3	1.60
DeMar DeRozan	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-2	16	15.1	14.5	0.59	15.3	13.6	1.72
Amir Johnson	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	5	2	14.6	15.3	-0.74	14.7	14.6	0.12
Jose Calderon	65	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	4	4	14.3	16.0	-1.68	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Jerryd Bayless	42	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	4	4	15.1	14.6	0.52	14.9	14.6	0.30
Leandro Barbosa	50	51	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.19	-4	16	-20	16.6	13.0	3.58	13.9	15.5	-1.61
Ed Davis	37	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	14	-16	14.1	15.3	-1.15	14.8	14.6	0.16
Linas Kleiza	31	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	19	-26	18.1	13.3	4.78	13.3	15.4	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 91, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.5%
DEN 90, UTA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
SAC 94, BKN 123	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%