inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 109 Excitement3.3 [1149] MVPJulius Randle (LAL): +14.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 127 Comeback1.2 [481] LVPEmmanuel Mudiay (DEN): -6.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.10-0.000.061371%0.072-0.032100%0.01
Kenneth Faried0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.03-0.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Juan Hernangomez0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.05487%0.0200.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wilson Chandler-0.000,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.06-0.000.061071%0.043-0.044100%0.01
Trey Lyles-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02759%-0.002-0.01333%-0.01
Will Barton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.041150%0.034-0.05250%-0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.02543%0.012-0.044100%0.02
Jamal Murray-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.00-0.051136%-0.013-0.036100%0.01
Mason Plumlee-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.02645%-0.023-0.021020%-0.04
Emmanuel Mudiay-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.000.03945%-0.032-0.044100%0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Julius Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.110.03-0.011863%0.162-0.02250%-0.01
Brook Lopez0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.140.000.041475%0.111-0.0100%0.00
Jordan Clarkson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.01-0.041258%0.093-0.02757%-0.00
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.021171%0.063-0.0120%-0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.031358%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Josh Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Andrew Bogut0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ivica Zubac00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00343%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.011346%0.012-0.032100%0.00
Lonzo Ball0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.011342%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.23.530.514.627.12.427.4131.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +35.8%
DEN -3.5%
LAL +3.3%
LAL +11.4%
LAL +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENLALNBADENLALNBA
this game14.313.814.7106.9123.3107.5
season14.713.7111.2105.7
opponent14.814.7107.2109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.913.114.014.314.3
LAL13.613.613.714.513.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Jefferson99-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-171612.014.5-2.4918.413.45.06
Trey Lyles3434-0.02-0.480.47-0.165-232813.114.9-1.7814.713.41.27
Juan Hernangomez4342-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-151213.315.0-1.6814.113.70.42
Kenneth Faried2321-0.16-0.340.170.07-8-10213.514.5-1.0312.214.2-1.99
Mason Plumlee6263-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-161414.214.4-0.2514.712.52.13
Jamal Murray5252-0.20-0.300.100.09-10-8-215.912.63.3612.615.1-2.52
Paul Millsap2828-0.21-0.290.090.12-11-7-416.113.62.4812.614.3-1.67
Nikola Jokic2627-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-16-2-1415.214.01.1812.414.3-1.87
Emmanuel Mudiay5455-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.06-8-10212.915.8-2.9114.712.81.86
Wilson Chandler5457-0.32-0.18-0.130.09-14-4-1014.514.00.5613.913.70.16
Gary Harris6870-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.11-7-11414.314.20.0613.813.80.05
Will Barton5757-0.34-0.16-0.180.10-15-3-1214.713.71.0513.514.2-0.63

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Julius Randle68690.53-0.030.57-0.2627-93612.815.8-2.9514.713.41.26
Lonzo Ball85850.460.040.42-0.3929-114012.918.1-5.1915.48.66.75
Jordan Clarkson53510.390.110.290.07117414.712.91.7213.515.0-1.49
Kyle Kuzma58550.250.25-0.010.22117-1613.414.4-0.9814.613.90.75
Corey Brewer36350.230.27-0.03-0.09117414.313.60.7013.314.8-1.51
Brook Lopez46450.210.29-0.08-0.02810-213.713.9-0.2716.212.83.41
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope76750.150.35-0.190.21-220-2214.113.01.1214.015.1-1.19
Brandon Ingram57580.130.37-0.250.13018-1814.213.30.9414.713.71.04
Josh Hart27270.100.40-0.31-0.02414-1014.513.60.9411.015.5-4.45
Andrew Bogut560.040.46-0.42-0.05315-1216.013.72.298.514.6-6.14
Ivica Zubac440.000.50-0.500.06-220-2224.013.410.595.514.6-9.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 89, ORL 1190.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
LAC 90, HOU 1150.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
ATL 102, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%