inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 102 Excitement2.3 [1257] MVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): +11.3%
Denver Nuggets 115 Comeback1.3 [347] LVPPaul Millsap (ATL): -8.2%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Jenkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.084100%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Mike Muscala-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01450%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Mike Scott-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01450%0.021-0.02683%0.00
Pero Antic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04537%-0.0010.006100%-0.00
Kyle Korver-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.15-0.010.158106%0.032-0.031100%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.000,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.02664%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Jeff Teague-0.010,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.05-0.00-0.04657%0.044-0.052100%0.00
Shelvin Mack-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01736%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Al Horford-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.021030%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Dennis Schroder-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.020.010.041050%-0.022-0.02683%-0.01
Paul Millsap-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.000.051246%-0.052-0.042100%0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.180.000.071285%0.121-0.013100%0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.110.000.05793%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.10-0.000.06787%0.071-0.032100%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.070.02-0.081447%0.054-0.02683%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.080.000.075100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.000.07779%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.06-0.00-0.06633%0.022-0.013100%0.01
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.01-0.00759%0.052-0.05367%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.090.00-0.0930%0.0020.0000%0.00
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.080.00-0.08314%-0.0020.001100%0.00
Erick Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04629%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.000.03757%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.03.728.416.426.52.432.2132.5
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +39.9%
DEN +3.1%
DEN +5.4%
DEN +1.3%
DEN +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDENNBAATLDENNBA
this game13.415.215.1103.0112.7104.2
season14.914.6106.7103.4
opponent15.315.4106.6101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.715.114.910.313.4
DEN15.014.315.116.415.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Muscala2324-0.00-0.500.50-0.5318-31499.714.5-4.8715.915.00.89
John Jenkins2324-0.00-0.500.50-0.5318-31499.714.5-4.8715.915.00.89
Shelvin Mack4646-0.02-0.480.45-0.3812-253711.615.0-3.3815.714.90.80
Pero Antic4342-0.19-0.310.12-0.283-161912.314.2-1.9715.515.00.49
Paul Millsap4750-0.22-0.280.050.16-130-1315.011.93.1416.014.51.42
Kyle Korver5054-0.23-0.270.030.09-11-2-914.212.51.7115.614.90.72
Al Horford4651-0.26-0.24-0.030.12-130-1314.012.81.1715.115.4-0.35
Jeff Teague4445-0.27-0.23-0.040.32-207-2716.111.24.8516.014.61.33
DeMarre Carroll4245-0.31-0.19-0.110.13-152-1714.812.42.4215.315.20.10
Kent Bazemore5151-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.14-6-7112.514.4-1.9014.216.2-2.00
Mike Scott3937-0.32-0.18-0.150.29-218-2914.112.91.1713.716.1-2.36
Dennis Schroder4141-0.35-0.15-0.200.15-174-2113.313.4-0.1314.315.9-1.62

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danilo Gallinari49450.470.030.44-0.2926-133915.115.4-0.3415.811.44.45
Jameer Nelson29270.340.160.17-0.1617-42114.015.7-1.7714.113.11.04
Will Barton71690.310.190.120.28112-1115.115.6-0.5912.714.9-2.16
Wilson Chandler54530.290.210.09-0.3823-103315.015.5-0.4614.512.22.32
JJ Hickson66660.280.220.050.31-114-1514.716.2-1.4412.814.7-1.91
Darrell Arthur21210.240.26-0.02-0.141301315.015.3-0.2415.512.82.64
Kenneth Faried46430.230.27-0.05-0.10112915.615.00.6013.813.10.74
Randy Foye39380.180.32-0.15-0.15112915.714.90.8214.212.91.24
Ty Lawson54530.170.33-0.16-0.2715-21715.514.90.6414.711.92.85
Erick Green30300.000.50-0.500.47-1629-4515.515.10.3710.414.7-4.30
Gary Harris27270.000.50-0.500.50-1730-4716.414.81.5910.314.6-4.31
Joffrey Lauvergne24230.000.50-0.500.53-1831-4915.915.00.899.714.5-4.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 84, HOU 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
SEA 89, PHI 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
BOS 100, PHX 1310.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%