inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 84 Excitement2.0 [1295] MVPLuther Head (HOU): +6.3%
Houston Rockets 105 Comeback1.2 [1235] LVPKyle Korver (PHI): -9.3%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lou Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.04679%0.022-0.00250%-0.01
Samuel Dalembert0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.041541%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Bobby Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04420%0.0000.002100%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.04-0.000.041266%0.033-0.045100%0.00
Alan Henderson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.0640%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Andre Miller-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.05933%-0.022-0.0100%0.00
Willie Green-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.00-0.02617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rodney Carney-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.02-0.000.061048%-0.0400.00333%-0.01
Joe Smith-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.120.00-0.04614%-0.042-0.042100%0.00
Kyle Korver-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.000.081357%-0.044-0.052100%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.00-0.071150%0.072-0.0100%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.12-0.000.061567%0.0600.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.14-0.000.101471%0.072-0.037100%0.02
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.070.000.05675%0.0200.0000%0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.042100%0.021-0.013100%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.07-0.00-0.081060%0.076-0.0600%0.00
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.00-0.07636%0.0120.00250%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.011100%0.021-0.012100%-0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05333%0.0020.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.07725%0.0010.00250%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.529.214.826.22.529.2127.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +43.7%
HOU +3.8%
PHI -1.5%
HOU +3.8%
HOU +0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHIHOUNBAPHIHOUNBA
this game15.615.215.490.3111.7104.5
season15.515.6101.7103.6
opponent15.715.799.2105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI16.018.816.011.915.6
HOU16.013.914.616.215.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Jones25260.01-0.510.52-0.4917-385511.916.9-4.9916.214.91.38
Rodney Carney5152-0.09-0.410.32-0.359-303914.117.3-3.2216.014.31.63
Steven Hunter3334-0.13-0.370.250.34-16-5-1117.314.62.6415.515.10.37
Lou Williams4040-0.13-0.370.24-0.285-263112.917.6-4.7316.314.41.94
Alan Henderson1615-0.17-0.340.170.19-12-9-314.815.7-0.9115.315.20.04
Willie Green1614-0.21-0.290.080.17-13-8-520.014.65.3512.915.6-2.79
Kyle Korver5659-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.13-6-15914.317.5-3.1416.113.72.42
Samuel Dalembert5556-0.33-0.17-0.170.37-243-2717.412.94.5714.716.1-1.42
Andre Miller5354-0.37-0.13-0.240.39-265-3117.612.94.7314.416.3-1.94
Joe Smith5756-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.20-6-15914.717.0-2.2914.915.8-0.89
Andre Iguodala6364-0.41-0.09-0.320.56-3312-4516.713.33.3514.616.6-1.96

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rafer Alston63630.430.070.37-0.5032-114315.315.20.0616.413.82.66
Juwan Howard57580.430.070.35-0.5734-134715.215.20.0316.613.92.65
Luther Head44430.400.100.30-0.071651115.215.3-0.1415.615.50.06
Bonzi Wells41400.310.190.120.25219-1715.315.20.1015.515.6-0.08
Charles Hayes48470.310.190.120.34-122-2315.215.3-0.1415.116.0-0.85
Tracy McGrady57560.260.240.02-0.5026-53114.815.9-1.0416.514.12.38
Dikembe Mutombo46460.190.31-0.13-0.4622-12315.315.20.1416.015.10.85
Shane Battier43430.170.33-0.16-0.331741314.715.7-1.0317.414.03.48
John Lucas III26250.000.50-0.500.50-1738-5516.214.91.3811.916.9-4.99
Steve Novak26250.000.50-0.500.50-1738-5516.214.91.3811.916.9-4.99
Vassilis Spanoulis12120.000.50-0.500.18-627-3315.215.20.0211.816.1-4.29
Scott Padgett770.000.50-0.500.09-324-2714.415.3-0.8713.015.8-2.78


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 70, PHI 880.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
ATL 102, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
BKN 105, ORL 1390.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%