inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 89 Excitement2.2 [1036] MVPTayshaun Prince (DET): +9.3%
Orlando Magic 119 Comeback1.2 [938] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -5.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince0.090,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.00-0.021558%0.101-0.016100%0.01
Ben Gordon0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.090.000.053100%0.051-0.025100%0.01
Jonas Jerebko0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.00333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Charlie Villanueva0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.011145%0.0000.0000%0.00
Will Bynum0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.002100%0.00
Walker Russell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05356%0.0030.00333%0.00
Damien Wilkins-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00275%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Austin Daye-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01450%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Brandon Knight-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.03741%-0.011-0.00367%-0.00
Ben Wallace-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.02362%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Greg Monroe-0.030,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.03653%-0.002-0.035100%0.01
Jason Maxiell-0.040,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.01933%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Rodney Stuckey-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.01520%-0.041-0.0200%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.180.000.101091%0.0900.002100%-0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.00-0.01978%0.092-0.0100%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.00975%0.103-0.036100%0.02
Jason Richardson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.23-0.000.1710100%0.0700.002100%0.01
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.01-0.05743%0.0410.0000%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.01-0.031448%0.032-0.01580%-0.01
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03847%0.012-0.001100%0.00
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.04280%0.0010.00667%0.00
Justin Harper0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Orton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Earl Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.06-0.00-0.05621%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.630.016.425.32.828.2129.6
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +29.5%
ORL +1.7%
ORL +9.6%
ORL +8.5%
ORL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETORLNBADETORLNBA
this game17.215.515.6100.0136.8102.8
season16.316.299.5102.8
opponent15.815.4103.0104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.119.316.015.917.2
ORL18.813.513.416.815.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walker Russell12120.00-0.500.50-0.031-313213.717.8-4.1415.915.40.53
Damien Wilkins2222-0.01-0.490.490.20-7-231615.917.7-1.7816.815.01.82
Austin Daye2222-0.01-0.490.490.20-7-231615.917.7-1.7816.815.01.82
Charlie Villanueva3737-0.01-0.490.480.05-2-282615.118.8-3.7515.215.6-0.38
Ben Wallace3736-0.22-0.280.060.16-13-17416.717.7-0.9815.515.40.12
Jason Maxiell4947-0.22-0.280.060.19-14-16217.716.71.0415.315.7-0.40
Jonas Jerebko1211-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-201019.316.92.4117.515.22.28
Will Bynum2627-0.23-0.270.040.03-9-211215.717.9-2.2015.115.6-0.56
Brandon Knight5148-0.27-0.23-0.040.38-22-8-1418.915.13.8315.615.30.23
Greg Monroe4039-0.28-0.22-0.060.25-18-12-618.815.92.9115.315.6-0.37
Tayshaun Prince6260-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-16217.516.70.8315.415.6-0.25
Ben Gordon4543-0.34-0.17-0.170.10-15-15017.217.2-0.0114.816.1-1.37
Rodney Stuckey3031-0.40-0.10-0.300.19-20-10-1018.416.71.6914.615.9-1.27

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quentin Richardson46460.430.070.36-0.332642215.315.7-0.3817.417.10.30
Glen Davis60620.420.080.34-0.402822615.914.41.5318.913.55.35
Jason Richardson51530.370.130.25-0.181911814.616.6-1.9618.815.03.77
Ish Smith34340.270.230.04-0.3220101016.215.01.1816.817.5-0.78
Ryan Anderson43450.250.250.00-0.101218-614.016.9-2.8417.616.90.67
Earl Clark45440.250.25-0.00-0.281812616.913.92.9616.917.6-0.67
Jameer Nelson53550.230.27-0.04-0.061020-1015.016.2-1.1817.516.80.78
JJ Redick50510.200.30-0.11-0.131119-816.414.22.1617.017.6-0.58
Daniel Orton26270.080.42-0.340.02228-2614.316.0-1.7013.518.9-5.35
Von Wafer15160.000.50-0.50-0.15525-2015.315.5-0.1515.217.7-2.43
Justin Harper12120.000.50-0.500.03-131-3215.915.40.5313.717.8-4.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 81, ORL 1130.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
ATL 102, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
SEA 89, PHI 1210.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%