NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	90		Excitement	2.6 [1246]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +14.1%
Houston Rockets	115		Comeback	1.3 [1074]		LVP	Bobby Simmons (LAC): -10.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.00	0.08	19	77%	0.14	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	70%	0.02	0	0.00	8	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Chalmers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	7	50%	0.02	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	10	37%	-0.04	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.00	0.05	7	107%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	13	58%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	14	75%	0.09	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.05	9	62%	0.08	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	55%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Torraye Braggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	-0.12	14	46%	0.04	5	-0.06	7	71%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	28.2	15.7	29.2	2.5	25.4	127.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.1%

HOU +7.2%

HOU +9.8%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	16.3	15.5	101.1	129.2	104.0
season	16.0	16.0		103.0	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.7	15.8	13.4	18.7	16.1
HOU	16.0	16.2	17.3	15.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lionel Chalmers	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-26	27	16.9	15.8	1.13	15.9	16.4	-0.45
Chris Wilcox	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-22	19	14.9	16.6	-1.73	15.5	16.7	-1.19
Bobby Simmons	43	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-18	11	15.8	16.3	-0.47	16.1	16.5	-0.45
Mamadou N'diaye	15	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-22	19	18.2	15.6	2.58	16.1	16.3	-0.23
Rick Brunson	16	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-20	15	17.6	15.7	1.91	17.5	16.0	1.52
Mikki Moore	64	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.27	-19	-6	-13	15.9	16.5	-0.59	16.9	15.0	1.95
Shaun Livingston	67	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-8	-9	15.2	18.7	-3.55	16.7	15.2	1.50
Elton Brand	68	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.26	-23	-2	-21	16.0	16.3	-0.30	16.3	16.3	-0.06
Marko Jaric	71	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.20	-21	-4	-17	16.2	15.7	0.49	16.0	17.8	-1.81
Quinton Ross	55	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.36	-28	3	-31	16.7	15.0	1.71	16.0	16.8	-0.82

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	65	66	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	10	5	16.6	15.5	1.10	15.1	18.9	-3.85
Scott Padgett	50	48	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.31	22	3	19	15.6	17.2	-1.51	16.4	15.6	0.83
David Wesley	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	14	-3	16.4	16.0	0.37	16.1	16.0	0.13
Jon Barry	39	38	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.35	22	3	19	15.8	16.7	-0.91	17.0	15.4	1.65
Mike James	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.28	19	6	13	16.2	16.4	-0.18	17.2	15.0	2.15
Dikembe Mutombo	32	30	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.05	7	18	-11	17.8	15.5	2.31	14.6	16.8	-2.20
Yao Ming	51	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.34	20	5	15	15.6	17.3	-1.67	16.8	14.9	1.96
Bob Sura	46	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	19	-13	16.4	16.2	0.18	15.0	17.2	-2.15
Clar. Weatherspoon	39	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	22	-19	17.2	15.6	1.51	15.6	16.4	-0.83
Ryan Bowen	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	21	-17	12.9	16.6	-3.74	16.6	16.0	0.56
Torraye Braggs	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	17.0	16.3	0.74	18.6	15.9	2.70
Moochie Norris	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	17.0	16.3	0.74	18.6	15.9	2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 109, LAL 127	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
SEA 89, PHI 121	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DET 89, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%