inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 120 Excitement3.6 [1120] MVPBojan Bogdanovic (IND): +19.2%
Miami Heat 95 Comeback1.7 [326] LVPDion Waiters (MIA): -13.3%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.220.020.051487%0.191-0.002100%0.01
Myles Turner0.100,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.19-0.010.081486%0.162-0.061100%0.00
Thaddeus Young0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.00-0.001060%0.0600.0000%0.00
Domantas Sabonis0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.02757%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lance Stephenson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04333%0.0110.0000%0.00
Darren Collison0.010,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.01960%0.032-0.022100%0.01
Damien Wilkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Young0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Alex Poythress0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
TJ Leaf0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.083117%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.07-0.000.07779%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Victor Oladipo-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.011545%-0.014-0.08367%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.200.000.081287%0.1300.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.011358%0.0800.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.010.03968%0.051-0.03475%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.03440%0.0300.002100%0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.00-0.03856%0.043-0.03250%-0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Walton Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Jordan Mickey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02550%0.012-0.022100%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.03850%0.014-0.0700%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.12-0.02-0.03825%-0.053-0.0600%0.00
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.18-0.01-0.06100%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.11.825.413.723.62.426.7115.5
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +22.5%
IND +3.4%
IND +2.5%
IND +10.7%
IND +10.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDMIANBAINDMIANBA
this game14.315.914.7126.399.0107.5
season14.815.1108.3105.4
opponent14.615.0105.8106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.616.413.214.014.3
MIA16.414.316.816.015.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thaddeus Young48480.69-0.190.89-0.1027-22914.614.00.6017.214.62.60
Myles Turner63660.63-0.130.76-0.2530-53513.915.0-1.0316.215.11.16
Darren Collison63630.56-0.060.62-0.082231914.513.80.6615.317.0-1.73
Victor Oladipo67650.55-0.050.60-0.072141714.513.70.8617.412.64.85
Bojan Bogdanovic67670.470.030.44-0.061871114.713.21.4716.614.22.33
Damien Wilkins760.000.50-0.500.03-126-2711.914.5-2.6211.716.1-4.48
Joe Young770.000.50-0.50-0.06223-2111.914.5-2.6216.015.90.15
Alex Poythress760.000.50-0.500.03-126-2711.914.5-2.6211.716.1-4.48
TJ Leaf760.000.50-0.500.03-126-2711.914.5-2.6211.716.1-4.48
Cory Joseph5861-0.040.55-0.59-0.28817-914.214.5-0.2914.618.0-3.36
Lance Stephenson4347-0.160.66-0.82-0.22223-2114.614.00.5915.716.0-0.36
Domantas Sabonis3838-0.200.70-0.90-0.14-227-2914.514.10.3614.816.6-1.74

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelly Olynyk28280.17-0.680.850.122-272915.915.80.0915.014.01.07
Wayne Ellington51500.12-0.620.730.18-2-232115.016.8-1.7614.514.10.37
James Johnson55540.11-0.610.730.062-272914.118.2-4.0314.913.41.49
Udonis Haslem780.00-0.500.500.06-2-232116.015.90.1511.714.5-2.77
Derrick Walton Jr.780.00-0.500.500.06-2-232116.015.90.1511.714.5-2.77
Jordan Mickey780.00-0.500.500.06-2-232116.015.90.1511.714.5-2.77
Tyler Johnson5153-0.20-0.300.100.21-14-11-315.915.80.0814.813.61.23
Bam Adebayo1516-0.26-0.24-0.030.15-14-11-316.315.80.4813.014.5-1.54
Dion Waiters5450-0.33-0.17-0.160.37-24-1-2316.415.21.1113.814.8-0.94
Hassan Whiteside5351-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.03-13-12-115.716.0-0.3314.314.3-0.02
Justise Winslow4747-0.48-0.02-0.460.11-20-5-1517.714.13.6813.515.0-1.49
Josh Richardson5959-0.600.10-0.70-0.04-19-6-1315.816.0-0.2214.513.90.68
Goran Dragic5351-0.620.12-0.73-0.06-19-6-1316.315.30.9814.514.00.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 121, HOU 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%
ATL 117, MIN 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%
DET 106, ATL 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.9%