NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	4.6 [895]		MVP	DeMarre Carroll (ATL): +20.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Comeback	1.9 [950]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -15.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.22	0.02	0.04	13	81%	0.20	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.01	-0.03	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.09	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	13	68%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mike Scott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.03	0.09	18	65%	0.04	3	-0.05	7	86%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	53%	0.04	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.12	-0.02	0.13	13	70%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	14	47%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	11	35%	-0.09	4	-0.06	1	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.5	25.8	15.8	29.4	2.4	29.6	130.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +54.1%

ATL +2.2%

MIN -20.0%

ATL +13.1%

ATL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.1	121.9	109.4	104.2
season	14.9	15.0		106.7	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.4		110.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	15.6	11.9	14.7	14.3
MIN	14.2	17.1	18.9	13.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	65	66	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.21	29	-17	46	14.6	13.7	0.86	15.3	16.4	-1.10
DeMarre Carroll	68	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-6	24	14.7	13.3	1.46	15.5	16.2	-0.71
Paul Millsap	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.08	18	-6	24	14.6	13.7	0.86	14.6	18.1	-3.52
Kyle Korver	63	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-2	16	14.4	14.1	0.31	15.2	16.5	-1.23
Al Horford	57	59	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.13	14	-2	16	14.2	14.6	-0.41	15.8	15.5	0.22
Elton Brand	25	24	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	15	-18	14.6	14.2	0.32	18.1	14.9	3.26
Mike Scott	46	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	17	-22	14.0	14.6	-0.62	15.9	15.5	0.37
Kent Bazemore	47	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	18	-24	13.7	14.9	-1.26	17.8	13.7	4.13
John Jenkins	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	10.2	14.5	-4.35	12.7	15.8	-3.05
Dennis Schroder	40	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.28	-13	25	-38	14.2	14.4	-0.13	15.1	16.1	-1.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-18	24	12.7	15.8	-3.05	10.2	14.5	-4.35
Mo Williams	31	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-13	14	18.9	14.1	4.76	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Zach LaVine	13	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-17	22	13.5	16.0	-2.56	13.4	14.5	-1.13
Shabazz Muhammad	47	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-15	18	16.9	14.5	2.38	13.4	15.2	-1.79
Gorgui Dieng	47	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-15	18	15.4	15.9	-0.53	14.0	14.7	-0.66
Thaddeus Young	68	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-7	2	14.2	19.2	-4.94	15.2	12.3	2.88
Anthony Bennett	28	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-5	-2	19.2	14.2	4.94	12.3	15.2	-2.88
Andrew Wiggins	73	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	1	-14	15.9	14.8	1.12	14.6	13.5	1.11
Nikola Pekovic	49	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	3	-18	15.9	15.4	0.53	14.7	14.0	0.66
Ricky Rubio	56	55	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.05	-18	6	-24	14.3	17.6	-3.25	14.7	13.9	0.78
Kevin Martin	64	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.08	-20	8	-28	14.7	17.6	-2.83	15.0	13.0	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 120, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
DET 106, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
GSW 125, NYK 111	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.34,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%