inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 106 Excitement4.2 [989] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +13.7%
Atlanta Hawks 94 Comeback1.8 [280] LVPJeff Teague (ATL): -15.4%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.140.110.01-0.021468%0.172-0.043100%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.02-0.021262%0.133-0.06250%-0.00
Reggie Jackson0.050,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.050.04-0.01-0.021060%0.082-0.035100%0.00
Stanley Johnson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.050.01-0.061035%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Aron Baynes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.02560%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Morris-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.021941%-0.0200.00683%-0.00
Jodie Meeks-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02425%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Steve Blake-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.04625%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.011643%-0.022-0.071060%-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Al Horford0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.01-0.001160%0.091-0.03367%-0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.000.051467%0.071-0.022100%0.00
Lamar Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.000.021125%0.0500.002100%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0310%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Paul Millsap0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.010.031556%0.052-0.05475%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.02939%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.13-0.01-0.0430%-0.054-0.0500%0.00
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.050.031650%-0.035-0.12475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.02.425.515.525.81.836.2130.2
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +24.6%
DET +1.5%
DET +25.0%
ATL -0.8%
ATL -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETATLNBADETATLNBA
this game15.413.614.9106.095.9105.1
season15.014.2104.9104.1
opponent15.115.1100.3105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET14.416.016.015.515.4
ATL13.815.315.310.613.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Reggie Jackson65650.73-0.230.96-0.0326-144015.914.61.3413.314.2-0.92
Andre Drummond75750.65-0.150.80-0.0223-113416.013.72.3513.613.9-0.31
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope76740.62-0.120.730.1217-52215.914.11.7313.513.9-0.38
Marcus Morris76740.61-0.110.720.1117-52215.914.11.7313.513.9-0.38
Ersan Ilyasova74750.52-0.020.53-0.0720-82814.917.0-2.1113.215.1-1.90
Jodie Meeks2424-0.120.62-0.730.03-517-2214.115.9-1.7313.913.50.38
Stanley Johnson5047-0.130.63-0.750.25-1325-3815.615.30.3614.512.81.65
Aron Baynes2523-0.150.65-0.800.17-1123-3413.716.0-2.3513.913.60.31
Steve Blake3533-0.230.73-0.960.18-1426-4014.615.9-1.3414.213.30.92

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Muscala18180.13-0.630.76-0.025-172214.013.50.4514.315.7-1.42
Lamar Patterson39390.12-0.620.74-0.1810-223212.914.1-1.2214.915.8-0.85
Mike Scott1111-0.02-0.480.47-0.051-131412.113.8-1.7416.515.31.14
Thabo Sefolosha3637-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-111015.012.92.1216.215.01.19
Tiago Splitter3232-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-9614.613.21.4315.715.30.32
Dennis Schroder4851-0.08-0.420.33-0.204-162014.712.62.0315.715.20.50
Al Horford6365-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.19-5-7213.513.9-0.4815.016.3-1.35
Kyle Korver6263-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.09-9-3-612.715.2-2.4715.315.7-0.42
Kent Bazemore4444-0.47-0.03-0.430.03-175-2214.313.11.2914.216.4-2.17
Jeff Teague6566-0.680.18-0.87-0.01-2311-3413.015.0-2.0216.114.21.91
Paul Millsap7274-0.750.25-0.99-0.10-2210-3213.514.0-0.5015.914.21.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 121, LAC 990.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
SAC 113, PHX 930.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,095.5%
GSW 121, HOU 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%