inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 121 Excitement4.6 [899] MVPKlay Thompson (GSW): +18.9%
Houston Rockets 94 Comeback2.0 [291] LVPStephen Curry (GSW): -14.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0.190,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.170.030.011577%0.211-0.0200%0.00
Andre Iguodala0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.170.010.081185%0.0910.00425%-0.04
Harrison Barnes0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.01-0.041150%0.0800.002100%0.01
Andrew Bogut0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.02475%0.0510.0000%0.00
Draymond Green0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.011269%0.154-0.1020%-0.03
Shaun Livingston0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.01853%0.0310.001100%0.01
Ian Clark0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.022125%0.0310.0000%0.00
Marreese Speights0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.01-0.00-0.02558%0.031-0.002100%0.01
Festus Ezeli0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.01250%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Brandon Rush0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03658%-0.0000.0000%0.00
James Michael McAdoo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.0420%-0.0310.0020%-0.03
Stephen Curry-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.13-0.03-0.02932%-0.035-0.121100%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.02-0.021261%0.131-0.034100%0.02
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.04-0.01-0.02961%0.092-0.031338%-0.08
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.02-0.051350%0.134-0.101080%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.02764%0.073-0.0600%0.00
Montrezl Harrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
KJ McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.031045%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.00-0.021132%-0.012-0.06367%-0.01
Patrick Beverley0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.01520%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.030.00650%0.024-0.12425%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.23.639.917.529.53.430.3152.4
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +37.4%
HOU -9.4%
HOU -1.0%
GSW +20.0%
GSW +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWHOUNBAGSWHOUNBA
this game14.613.114.9115.291.3105.1
season13.714.0112.3105.9
opponent15.115.1106.9102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW14.013.614.316.414.6
HOU13.212.115.711.813.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green77760.65-0.150.80-0.3534-74114.016.0-1.9614.110.53.57
Klay Thompson68660.53-0.030.56-0.152341914.015.7-1.7213.612.31.28
Harrison Barnes64640.51-0.010.52-0.192432114.814.10.7213.911.82.04
Festus Ezeli33300.380.120.26-0.001314-115.314.21.0412.213.5-1.34
Andrew Bogut27280.340.160.17-0.071413115.314.30.9415.212.32.93
Shaun Livingston49490.310.190.12-0.101413114.514.6-0.0613.512.80.67
Andre Iguodala52520.040.46-0.41-0.10522-1714.214.9-0.6612.913.3-0.43
Brandon Rush980.040.46-0.420.01126-2517.314.33.037.113.6-6.50
Leandro Barbosa26250.010.49-0.48-0.17621-1516.414.02.4211.813.6-1.79
Stephen Curry4141-0.040.54-0.59-0.04027-2714.414.7-0.3213.313.00.29
Ian Clark2928-0.060.56-0.61-0.12225-2314.014.8-0.7312.013.5-1.53
Marreese Speights3534-0.080.58-0.66-0.29720-1314.514.6-0.0712.013.7-1.62
James Michael McAdoo1514-0.130.63-0.770.10-835-4314.114.6-0.589.913.6-3.77

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Montrezl Harrell14140.00-0.500.500.06-2-252310.113.6-3.5217.114.22.90
KJ McDaniels1617-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-231910.913.5-2.5816.614.22.42
Patrick Beverley3536-0.02-0.480.460.04-2-252312.913.2-0.3114.214.7-0.47
Michael Beasley4242-0.02-0.480.450.06-3-242113.812.71.1313.415.3-1.93
Corey Brewer3939-0.02-0.480.450.21-8-191112.113.7-1.5915.314.21.10
Clint Capela2120-0.03-0.470.430.20-8-191111.713.5-1.7614.014.7-0.63
Donatas Motiejunas5557-0.36-0.14-0.220.14-17-10-713.013.2-0.1714.414.8-0.46
Jason Terry5657-0.38-0.12-0.250.12-17-10-713.312.90.3714.814.30.50
James Harden8788-0.50-0.00-0.500.18-23-4-1913.510.92.5814.216.6-2.42
Trevor Ariza7678-0.580.08-0.660.21-270-2713.611.81.8114.215.6-1.44
Dwight Howard7477-0.580.08-0.660.12-24-3-2113.811.42.3215.013.31.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 106, ATL 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.3%
IND 120, MIA 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.43,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%
BOS 94, HOU 740.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%