NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	94		Excitement	4.1 [979]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +11.8%
Houston Rockets	74		Comeback	2.1 [291]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -11.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.02	15	59%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Leon Powe	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	12	68%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Eddie House	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	6	42%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.06	21	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	12	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	2	125%	0.00	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	11	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	13	43%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.6	31.2	20.5	30.4	3.4	31.4	147.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +6.9%

BOS +14.2%

BOS +12.5%

BOS +13.9%

BOS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	HOU	NBA	BOS	HOU	NBA
this game	16.9	16.7	15.4	109.3	87.1	105.7
season	15.6	16.2		108.0	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.9		100.3	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.6	15.5	18.0	18.6	16.9
HOU	15.9	16.5	18.0	16.5	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	49	48	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.01	20	0	20	16.4	17.5	-1.05	17.0	16.4	0.61
Kendrick Perkins	36	34	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	1	18	16.5	17.1	-0.62	17.9	15.9	2.08
Kevin Garnett	56	56	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.11	23	-3	26	17.0	16.6	0.35	17.6	14.9	2.78
Paul Pierce	63	62	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.09	19	1	18	16.5	17.9	-1.38	16.9	16.1	0.77
Tony Allen	37	35	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	8	4	16.8	16.9	-0.09	18.2	15.7	2.51
Glen Davis	22	22	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.15	8	12	-4	18.5	16.3	2.26	15.8	17.0	-1.24
James Posey	53	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.14	7	13	-6	16.8	17.0	-0.23	15.7	18.5	-2.82
Eddie House	25	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	21	-22	17.4	16.6	0.82	15.0	17.4	-2.39
Leon Powe	37	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	22	-24	17.0	16.8	0.20	16.1	17.1	-0.99
Sam Cassell	37	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	20	-20	17.5	16.4	1.05	16.4	17.0	-0.61
P.J. Brown	15	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	25	-30	15.5	17.1	-1.61	15.2	17.0	-1.77

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	23	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-24	28	17.3	16.5	0.90	18.7	16.2	2.45
Luther Head	29	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-23	26	15.9	17.1	-1.26	17.8	16.3	1.49
Aaron Brooks	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	11.6	17.3	-5.75	15.4	17.0	-1.58
Steve Novak	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	12.8	17.3	-4.45	17.9	16.7	1.23
Charles Hayes	38	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-19	18	15.4	17.8	-2.40	17.7	16.2	1.48
Michael Harris	45	47	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	0.11	-5	-15	10	15.3	18.3	-3.03	16.7	17.0	-0.26
Dikembe Mutombo	28	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	-8	-4	18.6	15.7	2.91	15.8	17.4	-1.68
Shane Battier	67	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	-5	-10	16.8	16.3	0.46	16.7	17.4	-0.74
Rafer Alston	56	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.13	-23	3	-26	17.1	15.9	1.26	16.3	17.9	-1.68
Luis Scola	58	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.09	-22	2	-24	18.0	13.9	4.17	17.0	16.6	0.39
Tracy McGrady	61	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	0.16	-27	7	-34	17.5	14.6	2.94	16.4	17.9	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 96, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.6%
DET 101, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.33,0.24,0.14,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
GSW 121, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%