NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	121		Excitement	3.9 [1000]		MVP	Charles Barkley (HOU): +12.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	99		Comeback	1.5 [907]		LVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): -10.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Barkley	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	12	73%	0.13	1	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Willis	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	12	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	11	78%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Clyde Drexler	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	16	69%	0.09	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	4	25%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	61%	0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Charles Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.04	11	27%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	6	81%	0.04	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	16	55%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	10	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	48%	0.01	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	13	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	25.2	15.7	23.7	1.6	24.7	115.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +37.1%

HOU +9.4%

HOU +3.1%

HOU +1.0%

LAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.6	124.7	104.2	102.5
season	15.7	15.5		104.5	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.2	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.5	16.8	13.8	13.3	14.5
LAC	16.2	16.0	16.2	13.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clyde Drexler	66	65	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.20	28	-6	34	14.3	14.8	-0.46	16.3	13.8	2.46
Matt Maloney	71	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.03	22	0	22	14.1	15.6	-1.48	15.8	14.7	1.13
Kevin Willis	53	52	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.23	28	-6	34	14.4	14.6	-0.13	16.4	14.5	1.88
Matt Bullard	38	38	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.09	22	0	22	14.7	14.3	0.40	17.9	13.9	3.92
Hakeem Olajuwon	69	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.23	24	-2	26	14.5	14.4	0.09	16.7	12.4	4.29
Othella Harrington	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	27	-32	14.7	14.5	0.29	11.0	16.1	-5.11
Eddie Johnson	52	51	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	18	-14	14.7	14.2	0.51	14.3	16.9	-2.55
Brent Price	49	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.11	3	19	-16	14.9	14.1	0.73	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Charles Barkley	52	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.17	5	17	-12	15.1	13.8	1.21	14.7	16.5	-1.83
Charles Jones	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	30	-38	10.6	14.8	-4.22	11.2	15.9	-4.66
Rodrick Rhodes	15	14	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	35	-48	14.4	14.5	-0.11	10.6	16.4	-5.72

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	34	35	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.15	9	-31	40	15.3	15.7	-0.39	16.1	13.6	2.58
Keith Closs	41	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-21	20	12.7	17.6	-4.94	14.1	14.8	-0.66
Pooh Richardson	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-26	30	13.5	16.0	-2.49	13.0	14.8	-1.84
James Collins	11	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.23	-9	-13	4	12.5	15.9	-3.46	13.6	14.6	-1.04
Stojko Vrankovic	32	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-16	10	12.8	16.9	-4.08	14.2	14.7	-0.49
James Robinson	40	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-11	0	13.8	16.8	-2.96	14.6	14.4	0.26
Darrick Martin	56	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-9	-4	16.8	13.7	3.09	14.4	14.6	-0.20
Lorenzen Wright	75	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-11	0	16.5	11.7	4.77	14.4	14.8	-0.43
Maurice Taylor	46	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	-6	-10	17.6	13.5	4.10	14.5	14.5	-0.05
Lamond Murray	75	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.29	-27	5	-32	16.1	13.2	2.93	14.8	13.2	1.63
Eric Piatkowski	47	48	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.20	-29	7	-36	16.8	14.3	2.47	14.2	14.7	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 106, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
SAC 113, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
UTA 104, DEN 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%