NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	113		Excitement	4.4 [922]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +10.2%
Phoenix Suns	93		Comeback	1.4 [445]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -15.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.01	-0.05	18	59%	0.13	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.02
Vlade Divac	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	82%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	18	54%	0.06	3	-0.03	10	80%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	9	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Doug Christie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.13	23	63%	0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	11	58%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	4	80%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	20	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.23	0.00	-0.09	17	22%	-0.09	3	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	11	42%	-0.05	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.7	28.3	17.6	26.2	3.5	27.5	136.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +34.4%

SAC +3.5%

SAC +9.7%

SAC +2.7%

PHX -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.1	13.8	15.7	108.7	91.2	100.5
season	14.7	14.6		106.9	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.6		103.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	13.0	13.1	17.2	14.1
PHX	14.9	13.7	14.6	12.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	78	75	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.24	27	-7	34	14.2	13.9	0.33	14.1	13.1	1.02
Doug Christie	71	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.06	15	5	10	13.5	15.5	-2.02	14.4	12.5	1.89
Vlade Divac	51	51	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	3	14	13.3	14.9	-1.57	15.5	12.1	3.37
Brad Miller	91	90	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	4	12	14.6	11.2	3.41	13.5	16.6	-3.13
Peja Stojakovic	91	90	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.07	16	4	12	14.6	11.2	3.41	13.5	16.6	-3.13
Bobby Jackson	68	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	11	-2	14.2	13.9	0.29	13.1	15.0	-1.89
Darius Songaila	17	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	14	-8	11.6	14.6	-2.97	15.5	13.5	2.05
Anthony Peeler	40	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.06	1	19	-18	15.3	13.4	1.97	13.0	14.3	-1.27
Tony Massenburg	13	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	27	-34	13.3	14.3	-0.95	11.1	14.2	-3.15

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donnell Harvey	30	29	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-32	44	12.3	14.5	-2.21	15.4	13.6	1.82
Zarko Cabarkapa	23	24	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.10	7	-27	34	13.7	13.8	-0.11	15.2	13.8	1.34
Jahidi White	5	6	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-22	24	11.2	14.0	-2.76	8.8	14.5	-5.63
Howard Eisley	51	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-19	18	13.5	14.2	-0.67	13.7	14.5	-0.80
Casey Jacobsen	51	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-12	4	12.8	14.8	-1.96	14.2	14.0	0.23
Jake Voskuhl	47	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	-8	-4	14.6	13.2	1.39	13.6	14.6	-0.95
Antonio McDyess	35	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-11	2	14.8	13.3	1.49	13.4	14.5	-1.07
Amar'e Stoudemire	41	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.30	-22	2	-24	14.2	13.6	0.62	14.0	14.3	-0.31
Leandro Barbosa	54	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.19	-20	0	-20	14.3	13.3	0.93	14.8	13.4	1.41
Joe Johnson	91	93	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.13	-22	2	-24	13.9	13.4	0.52	14.4	11.7	2.69
Shawn Marion	82	83	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	0.16	-27	7	-34	14.0	13.0	0.96	13.9	15.2	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 102, IND 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ORL 101, LAC 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DAL 114, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%