NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	101		Excitement	4.0 [983]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +13.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	80		Comeback	1.3 [721]		LVP	Andre Miller (LAC): -19.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.02	26	62%	0.15	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	12	38%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	10	68%	-0.02	4	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	13	40%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	17	42%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	55%	-0.02	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	9	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.05
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	0.00	8	47%	-0.02	7	-0.18	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.4	28.4	19.4	26.5	3.4	31.6	137.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +9.9%

ORL +3.1%

ORL +8.9%

ORL +27.2%

ORL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.9	15.5	103.1	83.3	101.6
season	14.6	15.4		102.7	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.8		104.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.5	14.7	13.0	18.2	14.7
LAC	14.2	18.0	14.7	13.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	67	65	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.06	22	-1	23	15.3	13.5	1.84	14.0	17.0	-2.98
Shawn Kemp	48	46	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.07	22	-1	23	13.6	15.9	-2.28	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Darrell Armstrong	60	59	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.23	26	-5	31	15.3	13.9	1.35	15.1	14.8	0.31
Tracy McGrady	76	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	0	21	15.0	13.7	1.31	14.0	18.3	-4.31
Pat Garrity	69	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.10	14	7	7	13.6	17.4	-3.84	15.6	13.4	2.15
Andrew DeClercq	42	42	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	17	-13	16.1	13.7	2.40	13.8	15.8	-1.98
Jeryl Sasser	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	18	-15	13.7	15.3	-1.62	17.3	13.8	3.55
Olumide Oyedeji	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	11.0	14.8	-3.82	13.0	15.0	-1.97
Jacque Vaughn	60	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.00	-1	22	-23	15.4	13.7	1.78	15.2	14.5	0.67
Ryan Humphrey	11	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	25	-29	13.3	14.9	-1.66	16.4	14.8	1.62
Pat Burke	23	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	25	-29	14.8	14.7	0.05	16.7	14.3	2.40

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Rooks	1	1	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-23	25	3.0	15.1	-12.07	1.0	14.9	-13.89
Wang Zhi-zhi	19	19	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.13	-4	-17	13	17.4	14.4	3.02	15.2	14.6	0.58
Keyon Dooling	51	52	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	-20	19	15.2	14.6	0.61	15.7	13.7	1.94
Tremaine Fowlkes	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-16	11	14.0	15.0	-0.99	17.0	14.6	2.38
Chris Wilcox	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.20	-8	-13	5	14.3	15.1	-0.73	14.8	14.7	0.08
Marko Jaric	51	53	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-17	13	16.9	12.7	4.25	14.1	15.5	-1.46
Andre Miller	69	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-10	-1	14.5	16.1	-1.62	15.3	13.4	1.90
Corey Maggette	65	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	-3	-15	13.8	17.4	-3.60	14.8	14.6	0.27
Elton Brand	74	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.09	-20	-1	-19	14.5	16.5	-2.07	14.9	14.4	0.49
Eric Piatkowski	63	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	0	-21	14.3	16.3	-2.02	14.9	14.5	0.34
Michael Olowokandi	68	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	-6	-9	15.7	13.2	2.45	13.6	17.4	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 113, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
POR 117, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
UTA 99, CHA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%