NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	117		Excitement	3.5 [1094]		MVP	Steve Blake (POR): +16.0%
Sacramento Kings	96		Comeback	1.3 [909]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -8.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	14	71%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.02	-0.04	17	50%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.02	8	80%	0.13	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.07	9	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	5	60%	0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.10	0.00	0.09	9	78%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Oden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.01	9	89%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.07	9	73%	0.07	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	76%	0.10	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.05	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	39%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	12	33%	-0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	32.0	15.7	23.5	2.7	26.2	125.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.3%

POR +4.7%

POR +7.1%

SAC -3.4%

POR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	17.9	14.8	15.5	133.0	109.1	106.4
season	16.7	15.0		111.0	104.0
opponent	15.1	16.0		112.7	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.4	18.0	19.4	19.0	17.9
SAC	14.6	16.2	14.9	13.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	48	47	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	2	17	18.0	17.8	0.20	17.0	12.4	4.54
LaMarcus Aldridge	57	58	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	0	21	17.1	19.4	-2.32	15.4	13.8	1.58
Brandon Roy	49	51	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	1	19	16.8	19.3	-2.51	15.5	13.9	1.54
Joel Przybilla	44	43	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.05	18	3	15	17.3	18.4	-1.09	17.1	12.7	4.45
Nicolas Batum	32	30	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	14	-7	16.5	18.7	-2.13	13.6	15.5	-1.83
Rudy Fernandez	42	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.27	14	7	7	18.6	17.2	1.40	15.5	14.2	1.31
Travis Outlaw	49	51	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.18	9	12	-3	19.4	15.9	3.48	14.7	15.0	-0.27
Greg Oden	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	18	-15	19.4	16.9	2.51	13.6	15.7	-2.06
Jerryd Bayless	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	18.7	17.8	0.87	10.7	15.2	-4.50
Ike Diogu	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	16.1	18.1	-1.94	10.7	15.2	-4.50
Channing Frye	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	21	-21	19.4	17.1	2.32	13.8	15.4	-1.58
Sergio Rodriguez	36	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	25	-29	16.9	18.6	-1.64	11.8	16.9	-5.09

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-26	31	8.4	15.2	-6.83	14.0	18.2	-4.17
Quincy Douby	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-25	29	13.7	15.2	-1.55	19.0	17.5	1.55
Bobby Brown	42	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-16	11	15.2	14.5	0.76	18.5	17.3	1.18
Bobby Jackson	32	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.14	-8	-13	5	14.6	15.0	-0.34	17.1	18.3	-1.25
Spencer Hawes	64	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-10	-1	14.2	16.5	-2.28	18.3	17.0	1.29
Donte Greene	53	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-14	7	15.3	14.1	1.25	18.4	17.1	1.32
Jason Thompson	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-6	-9	15.6	13.2	2.39	19.3	14.5	4.86
Beno Udrih	46	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	-5	-11	14.5	15.2	-0.76	17.3	18.5	-1.18
John Salmons	59	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.23	-24	3	-27	15.1	14.4	0.69	17.0	19.6	-2.55
Brad Miller	56	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.28	-28	7	-35	15.2	14.2	0.98	16.7	19.8	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 117, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
SAS 109, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
SAC 113, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%