inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 117 Excitement3.7 [1070] MVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): +20.1%
Milwaukee Bucks 94 Comeback1.2 [1004] LVPCharlie Bell (MIL): -3.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.200,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.180.040.021581%0.201-0.001100%0.01
Tony Battie0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.01-0.023100%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Dwight Howard0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.011062%0.081-0.02425%-0.03
Keyon Dooling0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.02667%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Darko Milicic0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.01579%0.071-0.02425%-0.01
Jameer Nelson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.00857%0.062-0.04580%0.01
Bo Outlaw0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02167%0.0000.0010%0.00
Keith Bogans0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%0.0010.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.01-0.01650%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Grant Hill-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01841%0.022-0.041100%0.00
JJ Redick-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.000.000.03650%-0.031-0.002100%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.11-0.000.13876%0.022-0.05540%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lynn Greer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.090.010.04580%0.0510.005100%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.011159%0.052-0.0300%0.00
David Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.00-0.08433%0.042-0.03450%0.01
Jared Reiner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.00-0.03744%0.0110.00450%-0.02
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.030.081455%0.031-0.025100%0.01
Damir Markota0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01350%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Ruben Patterson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.010.00761%0.053-0.07475%0.01
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.0210%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.021148%0.012-0.05367%-0.00
Charlie Bell0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.000.000.041441%-0.0400.00450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.530.415.426.63.228.6130.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +44.8%
MIL -9.2%
ORL +6.0%
ORL +3.4%
ORL +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMILNBAORLMILNBA
this game15.415.115.4123.2100.0104.5
season15.915.2103.4105.3
opponent15.515.7109.9103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.114.915.217.415.4
MIL18.014.514.813.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hedo Turkoglu66630.65-0.150.80-0.3233-104315.415.6-0.1916.312.53.83
Dwight Howard55550.56-0.060.62-0.1424-12515.515.30.1215.913.91.98
Grant Hill55540.50-0.000.51-0.142212114.916.1-1.1315.714.21.44
Jameer Nelson50500.470.030.43-0.061851315.515.40.0815.814.21.64
Darko Milicic48470.240.26-0.03-0.23167914.616.3-1.6515.914.21.77
Carlos Arroyo31300.210.29-0.07-0.02815-714.815.7-0.8613.615.7-2.13
Tony Battie36370.080.42-0.330.08023-2316.514.71.7815.314.90.40
Keith Bogans18180.000.50-0.500.12-427-3116.915.11.8112.115.7-3.64
Bo Outlaw14130.000.50-0.500.00023-2316.015.30.6811.815.6-3.72
Keyon Dooling3133-0.020.52-0.55-0.08221-1914.316.0-1.6814.415.4-0.97
JJ Redick3434-0.080.58-0.66-0.02-225-2716.814.72.1413.815.8-1.97
Trevor Ariza3736-0.110.61-0.73-0.05-225-2715.315.5-0.1613.815.8-2.02

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damir Markota2526-0.02-0.480.460.10-4-191513.415.7-2.3116.215.11.01
Lynn Greer4546-0.03-0.470.450.15-6-171114.315.7-1.4215.315.5-0.23
David Noel4749-0.08-0.420.330.15-8-15714.515.6-1.0915.115.8-0.70
Ersan Ilyasova4545-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-191514.615.5-0.9115.715.20.47
Dan Gadzuric1517-0.20-0.300.11-0.02-6-171115.515.00.5715.815.30.49
Jared Reiner6968-0.29-0.21-0.090.15-15-8-715.015.2-0.2514.717.1-2.41
Mo Williams5758-0.39-0.11-0.280.08-16-7-915.614.21.4215.016.1-1.08
Charlie Bell5756-0.43-0.07-0.350.07-17-6-1115.514.41.0216.414.02.45
Ruben Patterson5253-0.45-0.05-0.400.17-21-2-1915.714.31.3415.815.00.80
Earl Boykins5857-0.500.00-0.510.02-18-5-1315.614.11.5315.115.9-0.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 117, SAC 960.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
UTA 103, TOR 880.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
ORL 108, NYK 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,096.0%