NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	109		Excitement	4.1 [1053]		MVP	George Hill (SAS): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	2.0 [990]		LVP	Anthony Parker (CLE): -9.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	15	63%	0.17	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
DeJuan Blair	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	-0.01	10	64%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.07	8	81%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	59%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
James Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Quinn	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	13	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.01	0.07	18	56%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.09	10	33%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	7	79%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	10	46%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	17	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	20%	-0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	29.5	15.5	23.5	2.5	28.5	125.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +39.0%

SAS +4.2%

SAS +10.6%

CLE -3.6%

CLE -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	CLE	NBA	SAS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	15.4	15.5	114.7	105.3	105.7
season	15.5	15.1		109.3	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.2		110.2	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.5	14.7	15.8	15.2	15.0
CLE	15.5	14.1	17.8	14.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	64	65	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.17	27	-17	44	14.7	15.7	-1.01	16.2	13.7	2.59
Richard Jefferson	51	51	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.09	23	-13	36	15.5	14.5	0.91	16.7	13.9	2.80
DeJuan Blair	43	43	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.12	23	-13	36	14.0	15.9	-1.93	16.7	14.4	2.22
Manu Ginobili	57	57	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.15	21	-11	32	14.3	16.1	-1.79	16.0	14.6	1.45
Tim Duncan	46	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-8	26	13.8	16.2	-2.46	16.7	14.3	2.40
Antonio McDyess	32	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	10	-10	16.5	14.3	2.17	13.7	16.3	-2.54
Gary Neal	61	59	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.34	-10	20	-30	15.1	14.9	0.14	14.4	17.2	-2.84
Tiago Splitter	17	17	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.24	-8	18	-26	15.8	14.9	0.89	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Steve Novak	11	11	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	25	-40	16.4	14.9	1.51	14.5	15.6	-1.02
Matt Bonner	41	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.12	2	8	-6	15.8	14.5	1.32	14.4	16.2	-1.82
James Anderson	19	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.40	-17	27	-44	15.9	14.8	1.08	12.9	16.1	-3.16
Chris Quinn	33	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.28	-14	24	-38	15.7	14.7	0.97	14.2	16.1	-1.96

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Harangody	16	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-10	10	13.4	15.9	-2.42	15.3	15.0	0.32
Manny Harris	53	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.31	9	-19	28	14.6	16.6	-1.98	15.7	14.0	1.70
Joey Graham	29	29	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-15	20	15.1	15.6	-0.55	15.7	14.8	0.90
Christian Eyenga	32	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-13	16	14.7	15.8	-1.10	15.2	15.0	0.18
Ryan Hollins	19	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-4	-2	15.5	15.4	0.10	16.1	14.7	1.35
JJ Hickson	59	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.20	-17	7	-24	15.5	15.4	0.12	14.2	16.4	-2.19
Alonzo Gee	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-12	14	15.5	15.2	0.35	15.2	14.5	0.63
Ramon Sessions	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	7	-24	15.7	15.0	0.62	14.9	15.2	-0.28
Samardo Samuels	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.41	-2	-8	6	16.0	14.1	1.94	15.1	14.9	0.24
Anthony Parker	62	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.25	-27	17	-44	16.3	13.9	2.38	14.2	16.4	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 80, DAL 64	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
POR 117, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
NYK 99, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%