NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	4.0 [797]		MVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): +11.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	93		Comeback	1.2 [464]		LVP	Bismack Biyombo (CHA): -17.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.17	0.00	0.06	19	65%	0.12	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Josh Howard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.05	10	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Derrick Favors	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	10	67%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Paul Millsap	0.01	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	15	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	9	38%	0.00	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.17	-0.01	0.08	12	66%	0.08	0	0.00	14	93%	0.03
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	2	82%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	12	66%	0.05	5	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.05	15	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	6	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	4	17%	-0.08	5	-0.10	4	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	33.6	14.0	25.7	1.8	31.4	131.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.6%

CHA -2.5%

UTA +15.0%

UTA +6.1%

UTA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHA	NBA	UTA	CHA	NBA
this game	16.8	14.8	15.6	107.6	103.3	102.8
season	15.8	16.3		104.0	94.1
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.4	17.3	16.6	19.4	16.8
CHA	13.8	17.0	16.9	11.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	65	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-10	26	16.1	18.7	-2.64	15.0	14.2	0.81
Devin Harris	47	46	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-9	24	15.7	18.0	-2.32	15.8	13.7	2.17
Raja Bell	32	34	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-13	32	15.7	17.4	-1.76	17.7	13.0	4.64
Paul Millsap	53	54	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-12	30	16.6	17.2	-0.64	16.2	12.7	3.54
Josh Howard	63	61	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.28	5	1	4	15.8	19.1	-3.36	15.3	13.6	1.72
Gordon Hayward	59	56	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.28	-6	12	-18	17.4	15.8	1.59	13.0	17.8	-4.78
Derrick Favors	36	33	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	10	-14	17.4	16.4	1.00	13.2	15.7	-2.44
Earl Watson	42	41	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	7	-8	18.3	15.6	2.67	14.2	15.3	-1.05
Alec Burks	15	15	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	12	-18	21.1	16.0	5.05	12.3	15.3	-3.03
Jamaal Tinsley	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	14	-22	14.3	16.9	-2.59	6.3	15.1	-8.75
Jeremy Evans	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	14	-22	14.3	16.9	-2.59	6.3	15.1	-8.75
CJ Miles	15	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	17.3	16.8	0.51	15.3	14.7	0.59
Enes Kanter	27	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.25	-10	16	-26	18.7	16.1	2.64	14.2	15.0	-0.81

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eduardo Najera	45	47	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.16	6	-12	18	13.6	15.9	-2.29	17.2	16.4	0.77
Reggie Williams	24	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-9	12	14.5	14.9	-0.34	19.3	16.0	3.29
Byron Mullens	46	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-11	16	14.8	14.8	-0.01	17.9	15.8	2.07
Derrick Brown	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-5	4	15.5	14.6	0.87	20.4	15.9	4.52
Kemba Walker	52	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-14	22	12.8	17.5	-4.69	17.8	15.3	2.52
Corey Maggette	71	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	14.6	15.5	-0.87	15.9	20.4	-4.52
D.J. Augustin	46	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	7	-20	16.9	12.6	4.30	16.1	17.5	-1.42
Bismack Biyombo	57	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	6	-18	14.4	15.5	-1.10	16.5	17.5	-1.01
Gerald Henderson	58	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.18	-10	4	-14	15.0	14.4	0.59	15.5	19.3	-3.80
DJ White	32	32	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	5	-16	17.1	13.5	3.62	15.5	17.6	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 122, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SAS 103, LAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%
UTA 102, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%