NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	3.4 [1125]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +13.4%
Miami Heat	91		Comeback	1.1 [907]		LVP	Dion Waiters (MIA): -11.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	20	56%	0.15	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.03	-0.03	13	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Bolomboy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.07	8	75%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	6	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.05	7	88%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	13	41%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Willie Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	8	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	16	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	0.06	13	47%	-0.07	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	4	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	27.4	15.4	21.6	2.5	30.5	126.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.7%

UTA +9.7%

UTA +3.5%

UTA +2.9%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIA	NBA	UTA	MIA	NBA
this game	16.5	14.6	14.8	110.9	97.8	107.7
season	16.1	15.4		108.0	106.7
opponent	14.5	15.0		105.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.0	16.1	16.6	17.4	16.5
MIA	14.7	16.6	13.4	13.9	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	63	63	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	-11	33	16.4	16.9	-0.50	15.6	12.5	3.09
Gordon Hayward	68	70	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.15	21	-10	31	16.1	17.6	-1.44	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Rodney Hood	66	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	0	11	16.4	16.8	-0.34	15.1	13.6	1.51
Dante Exum	56	56	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	4	3	16.6	16.4	0.22	14.3	15.1	-0.71
Trey Lyles	38	38	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	0	11	16.8	16.3	0.50	15.4	14.1	1.30
Shelvin Mack	43	44	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.17	-1	12	-13	16.5	16.5	0.02	14.7	14.6	0.11
Joe Johnson	53	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	5	1	16.5	16.5	-0.03	14.5	14.8	-0.22
Joe Ingles	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.21	-5	16	-21	17.7	16.0	1.70	13.8	15.0	-1.17
Jeff Withey	28	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.34	-11	22	-33	16.6	16.5	0.12	12.9	15.4	-2.46
Derrick Favors	12	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	11	-11	15.6	16.7	-1.08	14.7	14.6	0.15
Joel Bolomboy	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	16.7	16.5	0.15	6.5	14.8	-8.30

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	27	26	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-14	17	12.7	15.4	-2.76	16.4	16.6	-0.14
Willie Reed	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-20	29	10.2	14.8	-4.57	18.8	16.4	2.41
Rodney McGruder	41	42	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-18	25	14.4	14.8	-0.42	16.5	16.5	0.00
Luke Babbitt	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-9	7	14.6	14.6	0.01	15.4	16.7	-1.26
Tyler Johnson	56	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.37	10	-21	31	14.0	15.6	-1.66	17.1	15.7	1.40
James Johnson	58	58	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-13	15	14.0	15.6	-1.57	16.9	15.9	0.97
Derrick Williams	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-7	3	14.1	15.0	-0.85	16.8	16.3	0.47
Dion Waiters	37	35	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	5	-21	16.1	13.6	2.51	16.2	16.7	-0.57
Justise Winslow	65	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	6	-23	15.0	13.8	1.20	16.0	17.7	-1.67
Josh Richardson	65	62	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.20	-24	13	-37	14.9	13.9	1.05	16.4	16.7	-0.31
Hassan Whiteside	62	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.16	-23	12	-35	15.8	12.4	3.40	16.4	16.8	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 104, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0	96.1%
GSW 107, LAC 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
UTA 99, CHA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.7%