NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	3.5 [1068]		MVP	Sam Jacobson (GSW): +4.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	76		Comeback	1.3 [493]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -9.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Jacobson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	6	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.01	0.05	22	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	17	51%	0.01	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Mookie Blaylock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	9	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	13	67%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	12	31%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	18	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	14	40%	-0.06	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	24.3	16.2	24.6	2.4	25.6	119.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +33.1%

GSW +0.4%

GSW +9.8%

GSW +9.1%

LAC -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	17.4	15.2	118.9	84.4	101.7
season	14.7	15.6		97.2	95.5
opponent	14.3	14.7		107.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.7	13.8	14.7	16.2	14.6
LAC	17.0	17.5	20.3	15.1	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	71	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.06	21	10	11	13.8	17.5	-3.66	17.6	16.6	1.05
Antawn Jamison	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.18	23	8	15	14.1	16.8	-2.70	17.8	15.7	2.09
Mookie Blaylock	45	46	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	16	-1	13.9	15.3	-1.44	18.1	16.7	1.47
Adonal Foyle	55	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	12	7	13.8	15.8	-1.94	18.6	15.3	3.28
Vonteego Cummings	53	52	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.38	16	15	1	15.7	13.1	2.61	17.1	17.8	-0.70
Tony Farmer	35	36	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.38	15	16	-1	16.9	13.1	3.85	16.6	17.9	-1.33
Sam Jacobson	33	31	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.11	4	27	-23	16.0	13.8	2.28	14.2	19.1	-4.96
Mark Davis	19	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.20	7	24	-17	15.3	14.4	0.92	13.9	18.2	-4.22
Sam Mack	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	23	-15	16.0	14.5	1.55	11.1	17.9	-6.80

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles R. Jones	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.29	-10	-21	11	11.2	18.1	-6.88	16.7	14.3	2.37
Keith Closs	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.26	-9	-22	13	15.1	18.2	-3.12	16.2	14.0	2.19
Eric Piatkowski	32	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.39	-17	-14	-3	17.2	17.5	-0.30	16.4	13.6	2.79
Troy Hudson	22	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-23	15	20.7	16.3	4.39	14.4	14.6	-0.21
Lamar Odom	33	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-22	13	18.2	17.0	1.17	14.2	14.8	-0.69
Tyrone Nesby	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.42	-24	-7	-17	17.3	17.8	-0.50	15.0	13.5	1.43
Eric Murdock	59	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.07	-13	-18	5	17.1	18.0	-0.85	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Derek Anderson	71	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.27	-21	-10	-11	16.5	20.7	-4.22	14.2	16.2	-2.04
Michael Olowokandi	58	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	-12	-7	18.0	16.4	1.61	13.9	15.8	-1.95
Maurice Taylor	64	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	-11	-9	18.3	15.3	3.01	13.9	16.1	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, VAN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
POR 109, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
UTA 102, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%