NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	101		Excitement	3.1 [1122]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +7.6%
Vancouver Grizzlies	84		Comeback	1.2 [907]		LVP	Tony Massenburg (VAN): -7.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	22	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.00	-0.08	6	42%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	12	60%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	10	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Keon Clark	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	45%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	13	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	9	37%	-0.01	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	15	45%	0.01	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	6	71%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	26.6	16.8	27.3	2.0	29.2	127.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +36.1%

VAN -4.8%

TOR +10.6%

TOR +9.4%

VAN -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	VAN	NBA	TOR	VAN	NBA
this game	14.0	17.7	15.5	109.8	93.3	100.9
season	15.8	15.6		103.7	97.4
opponent	15.1	15.4		103.4	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	13.5	13.6	13.6	14.0
VAN	17.6	20.2	17.7	15.8	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	57	57	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.20	23	-6	29	13.4	14.8	-1.39	19.2	15.2	3.96
Vince Carter	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-4	25	14.0	14.0	-0.04	18.1	16.1	1.94
Antonio Davis	59	56	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.03	13	4	9	14.3	13.3	1.04	18.5	16.5	1.96
Alvin Williams	48	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	3	11	14.5	13.4	1.03	17.8	17.6	0.16
Morris Peterson	38	37	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	10	-3	15.3	13.1	2.21	18.2	17.4	0.84
Chris Childs	49	50	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	10	-3	13.2	14.8	-1.55	17.5	18.0	-0.50
Jerome Williams	23	21	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.13	1	16	-15	14.6	13.8	0.86	17.3	17.8	-0.51
Keon Clark	40	41	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.16	9	8	1	13.7	14.1	-0.38	17.0	18.3	-1.37
Dell Curry	40	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	15	-13	13.1	14.6	-1.53	16.8	18.5	-1.71
Tracy Murray	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	22	-27	14.1	13.9	0.13	14.3	18.2	-3.91
Michael Stewart	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	14.4	13.9	0.49	15.4	18.0	-2.53
Eric Montross	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	13.2	14.0	-0.79	14.9	18.0	-3.13

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	9	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	15.4	18.0	-2.53	14.4	13.9	0.49
Erick Strickland	16	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-16	15	17.1	17.9	-0.73	15.0	13.7	1.27
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	36	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-15	13	17.5	17.9	-0.42	14.2	13.8	0.37
Ike Austin	18	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-11	5	19.1	17.4	1.67	13.2	14.2	-0.95
Stromile Swift	53	54	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-7	-3	18.3	16.9	1.41	14.3	13.4	0.89
Kevin Edwards	51	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-8	-1	17.3	18.3	-0.94	13.3	14.8	-1.46
Tony Massenburg	58	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-12	7	17.2	18.7	-1.59	14.2	13.6	0.57
Michael Dickerson	67	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.06	-14	-3	-11	17.4	18.6	-1.13	14.3	13.0	1.27
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.12	-21	4	-25	18.3	15.2	3.01	13.6	15.7	-2.13
Mike Bibby	68	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.10	-21	4	-25	18.0	16.9	1.08	13.9	14.2	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, ORL 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
UTA 103, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
POR 139, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%