NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	122		Excitement	3.8 [1014]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +19.0%
Washington Wizards	107		Comeback	1.0 [1103]		LVP	Nick Young (WAS): -9.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	14	79%	0.20	2	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Raja Bell	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.02	0.04	16	69%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	14	65%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.08	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Strawberry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	9	57%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	15	56%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	12	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	15	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	21	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.03	0.08	11	57%	-0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	28.5	15.7	22.5	2.0	25.0	117.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +56.5%

PHX +0.2%

WAS -9.6%

PHX +2.2%

PHX +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	13.4	15.6	15.4	122.0	108.1	105.7
season	13.8	16.1		111.1	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.6		107.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	12.1	12.6	15.7	13.4
WAS	13.9	17.4	16.9	14.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	73	71	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.09	22	-7	29	12.8	14.9	-2.03	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Amar'e Stoudemire	71	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-5	25	12.7	15.0	-2.34	15.6	15.6	-0.05
Raja Bell	72	71	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.16	23	-8	31	13.2	13.9	-0.68	15.5	15.7	-0.13
Shawn Marion	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	6	3	13.4	13.4	0.00	15.6	15.6	0.03
Grant Hill	77	78	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	7	1	13.2	13.8	-0.54	16.0	14.2	1.77
Leandro Barbosa	61	60	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	12	-9	13.6	13.0	0.65	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Boris Diaw	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	14	-13	14.4	12.7	1.73	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Eric Piatkowski	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	14.6	13.3	1.29	16.6	15.5	1.07
Sean Marks	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	17.7	13.2	4.43	17.0	15.6	1.44
DJ Strawberry	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	17.7	13.2	4.43	17.0	15.6	1.44
Brian Skinner	24	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	15	-15	14.3	13.1	1.21	15.8	15.5	0.25

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	52	53	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-16	17	15.4	15.7	-0.30	14.1	12.6	1.50
Darius Songaila	26	25	0.00	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-17	19	17.1	15.1	2.02	13.1	13.5	-0.33
Dominic McGuire	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-21	27	14.4	15.8	-1.38	14.4	13.2	1.15
Roger Mason Jr.	61	62	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-20	25	15.6	15.6	0.01	13.5	13.1	0.47
Nick Young	36	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.26	6	-21	27	15.2	15.8	-0.53	14.4	12.8	1.61
Antonio Daniels	63	63	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.16	-21	6	-27	15.8	15.2	0.53	12.6	14.8	-2.20
DeShawn Stevenson	38	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	5	-25	15.6	15.6	-0.01	13.1	13.5	-0.47
Antawn Jamison	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	4	-23	15.7	15.1	0.66	13.0	14.7	-1.72
Brendan Haywood	43	43	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.02	-16	1	-17	15.7	15.5	0.16	13.1	13.6	-0.53
Caron Butler	83	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	4	-23	15.2	17.4	-2.21	13.5	12.8	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 99, CHA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MEM 100, GSW 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DET 106, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%