NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	104		Excitement	3.6 [1049]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +10.0%
Denver Nuggets	91		Comeback	1.4 [503]		LVP	Brooks Thompson (DEN): -6.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	12	67%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	11	72%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Antoine Carr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	77%	0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	5	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	20	46%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Chris Morris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.04	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	11	64%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	16	50%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	10	55%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	-0.01	-0.09	15	39%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	16	49%	-0.04	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	22.2	15.5	24.6	1.6	28.4	115.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +28.3%

UTA +3.3%

DEN -0.9%

UTA +22.1%

DEN -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	17.2	16.1	15.6	120.9	104.6	104.4
season	15.6	15.2		110.8	102.3
opponent	15.3	16.0		108.8	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.9	14.7	16.4	19.9	17.2
DEN	16.4	17.9	16.3	13.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	67	69	0.71	-0.21	0.92	-0.14	29	-16	45	16.8	18.7	-1.92	16.2	15.3	0.91
Karl Malone	72	72	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.10	27	-14	41	16.8	19.6	-2.87	16.2	15.1	1.12
Greg Ostertag	51	53	0.65	-0.16	0.81	-0.14	27	-14	41	16.3	18.6	-2.33	17.8	13.4	4.39
Bryon Russell	47	47	0.43	0.06	0.37	-0.12	19	-6	25	17.7	16.7	0.96	16.2	15.9	0.25
John Stockton	66	67	0.32	0.17	0.14	0.20	4	9	-5	17.1	17.8	-0.72	16.8	13.6	3.13
Adam Keefe	33	33	0.22	0.27	-0.05	0.19	1	12	-11	16.5	17.7	-1.13	16.2	16.0	0.15
Howard Eisley	20	20	0.17	0.32	-0.14	-0.09	9	4	5	17.8	17.1	0.72	13.6	16.8	-3.13
Chris Morris	6	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.04	-7	20	-27	17.7	17.2	0.45	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Antoine Carr	32	32	-0.17	0.66	-0.83	0.30	-16	29	-45	19.1	16.1	2.95	13.1	17.8	-4.64
Greg Foster	17	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.17	-12	25	-37	18.6	16.9	1.68	15.4	16.2	-0.80
Shandon Anderson	19	18	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.25	-16	29	-45	18.7	16.8	1.92	15.3	16.2	-0.91

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brooks Thompson	27	29	0.13	-0.62	0.75	-0.31	15	-28	43	14.4	16.8	-2.39	18.6	16.6	1.97
Darvin Ham	0	1	0.00	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-15	17	0.0	16.1	-16.06	8.0	17.4	-9.35
Jeff McInnis	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.15	-7	-6	-1	16.0	16.1	-0.06	14.3	17.5	-3.22
LaPhonso Ellis	52	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.24	3	-16	19	14.2	18.8	-4.59	18.3	15.7	2.53
Antonio McDyess	56	56	-0.16	-0.33	0.17	-0.13	-1	-12	11	17.1	14.1	3.05	17.8	16.3	1.50
Ervin Johnson	30	31	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	0.10	-13	0	-13	18.7	14.7	3.98	16.4	17.7	-1.34
Mark Jackson	77	75	-0.31	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-11	9	15.9	17.5	-1.63	17.8	13.7	4.03
Tom Hammonds	52	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.02	-10	-3	-7	15.3	17.1	-1.77	16.6	18.1	-1.44
Dale Ellis	70	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	7	-27	16.1	15.8	0.36	17.3	17.2	0.10
Bryant Stith	65	62	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	0.19	-32	19	-51	16.8	13.9	2.94	16.1	20.3	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
NYK 92, BOS 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
HOU 121, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%