NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	117		Excitement	4.5 [918]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (CHI): +29.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	110		Comeback	1.0 [398]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (CHI): -7.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.21	0.04	-0.04	26	63%	0.32	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	15	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.03	0.06	7	94%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Denzel Valentine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	14	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	4	112%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	12	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.04	19	58%	0.07	3	-0.06	14	93%	0.04
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.00	0.06	11	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Quinn Cook	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	0.07	16	65%	0.06	7	-0.12	8	100%	0.02
Tim Frazier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.6	27.4	15.7	26.3	2.4	36.3	132.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +60.0%

NOP -14.2%

CHI +10.8%

NOP -4.0%

NOP -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NOP	NBA	CHI	NOP	NBA
this game	14.1	13.8	14.8	112.5	107.8	107.7
season	15.1	14.1		105.9	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.8		106.2	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.9	12.4	14.1	16.2	14.1
NOP	13.2	16.4	13.6	12.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-1	9	14.4	13.7	0.64	13.5	14.5	-1.02
Denzel Valentine	57	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-5	17	13.1	15.4	-2.30	14.0	13.6	0.46
Paul Zipser	68	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	4	-1	14.5	13.4	1.07	14.2	13.1	1.04
Robin Lopez	58	55	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	-2	11	13.5	14.9	-1.38	14.4	13.2	1.19
Jimmy Butler	85	83	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.29	0	7	-7	14.3	13.4	0.88	13.2	16.6	-3.40
Michael Carter-Williams	29	28	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	0	7	14.1	14.2	-0.06	14.7	13.5	1.29
Rajon Rondo	74	72	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	8	-9	14.3	13.7	0.67	13.7	14.1	-0.45
Joffrey Lauvergne	46	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.26	-2	9	-11	14.9	13.5	1.38	13.2	14.4	-1.19
Nikola Mirotic	37	35	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	8	-9	13.9	14.3	-0.35	14.5	13.5	1.02

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinn Cook	4	3	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	0	-7	21.0	13.5	7.48	9.7	14.3	-4.61
Jrue Holiday	82	85	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.39	6	-13	19	13.3	15.8	-2.53	14.3	13.5	0.76
Solomon Hill	77	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-10	13	13.1	16.1	-3.06	14.3	13.5	0.89
E'Twaun Moore	47	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-1	-5	14.0	13.7	0.27	13.8	14.4	-0.57
Tim Frazier	46	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	2	-11	14.7	13.1	1.69	14.0	14.3	-0.30
Dante Cunningham	30	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	5	-17	15.0	13.3	1.63	13.6	14.4	-0.82
DeMarcus Cousins	88	93	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.46	4	-11	15	13.7	14.4	-0.63	14.1	14.9	-0.86
Anthony Davis	86	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	13.5	15.5	-2.00	14.4	12.7	1.72
Jordan Crawford	50	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	1	-9	14.2	13.4	0.80	14.3	14.0	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 107, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
PHX 110, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
HOU 104, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%