NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	104		Excitement	4.0 [812]		MVP	Courtney Lee (HOU): +14.1%
Sacramento Kings	87		Comeback	1.0 [831]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (SAC): -8.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.14	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.17	0.00	0.03	18	69%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	13	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	15	47%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.07	12	62%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	10	40%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Honeycutt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	8	41%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	17%	-0.05
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	16	49%	0.02	5	-0.07	11	55%	-0.04
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	0.07	15	57%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	0.03	14	44%	-0.04	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	31.0	15.5	27.3	2.5	23.3	124.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +14.4%

HOU +5.6%

HOU +5.7%

HOU +23.0%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	16.2	14.7	15.6	111.8	93.5	102.8
season	15.4	14.9		103.5	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.5		107.9	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	15.7	17.3	17.3	16.2
SAC	16.5	13.1	13.5	16.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	5	7	15.5	18.4	-2.92	14.4	15.8	-1.43
Chandler Parsons	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	5	7	16.5	15.8	0.65	13.9	16.0	-2.12
Luis Scola	62	61	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	11	-5	15.3	18.1	-2.84	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Chase Budinger	47	49	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	6	5	16.5	15.9	0.60	15.2	14.2	0.91
Samuel Dalembert	52	52	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	8	1	17.0	15.3	1.64	14.0	15.6	-1.61
Courtney Lee	71	70	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.02	9	8	1	16.0	16.9	-0.82	15.1	13.6	1.49
Patrick Patterson	49	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	9	-1	17.3	15.0	2.35	15.0	14.5	0.49
Marcus Camby	23	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	6	5	14.8	16.7	-1.93	16.5	14.1	2.38
Kyle Lowry	31	32	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.07	7	10	-3	17.4	15.7	1.73	15.7	14.2	1.46
Marcus Morris	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	16.5	16.2	0.27	12.0	14.8	-2.79

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Honeycutt	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	12.0	14.8	-2.79	16.5	16.2	0.27
Donte Greene	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-18	19	12.8	15.0	-2.17	16.4	16.2	0.14
Hassan Whiteside	38	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-22	27	14.1	15.2	-1.10	17.1	15.7	1.42
Travis Outlaw	11	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	-9	1	12.8	15.0	-2.17	18.3	15.9	2.41
Charles Hayes	46	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-11	5	14.3	15.2	-0.89	17.7	14.8	2.93
Terrence Williams	65	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-13	9	14.1	16.2	-2.12	16.2	16.3	-0.06
Tyreke Evans	44	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-4	-9	15.6	14.0	1.63	15.1	17.2	-2.08
Jason Thompson	41	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	0	-17	15.5	14.1	1.40	14.5	17.6	-3.04
Isaiah Thomas	86	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-5	-7	14.9	12.6	2.34	16.2	16.9	-0.67
Jimmer Fredette	71	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	-3	-11	14.9	14.0	0.90	16.6	14.9	1.72
DeMarcus Cousins	50	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	0	-17	15.4	13.9	1.49	15.6	17.0	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 90, MIA 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
NYK 95, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
SEA 109, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.32,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.7%