NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	107		Excitement	3.4 [1109]		MVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): +15.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	100		Comeback	1.0 [559]		LVP	Brevin Knight (LAC): -5.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.02	11	77%	0.16	2	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.01	-0.05	16	53%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	75%	0.13	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	50%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	8	70%	0.10	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Carroll	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	9	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	12	63%	0.06	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	0.01	0.08	24	56%	0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	28.3	15.6	29.2	2.7	36.2	136.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +39.6%

CHA +3.8%

CHA +1.5%

CHA +3.7%

CHA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAC	NBA	CHA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	14.8	15.4	116.3	108.7	105.7
season	15.8	15.6		103.1	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		106.8	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.5	16.5	16.5	17.4	16.5
LAC	15.2	14.8	15.5	13.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	78	79	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.19	12	-5	17	16.3	17.5	-1.22	15.4	11.6	3.75
Gerald Wallace	84	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	4	-1	16.6	15.4	1.20	14.6	17.0	-2.43
Emeka Okafor	62	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	-5	17	16.1	17.1	-0.99	15.6	13.3	2.33
Jason Richardson	70	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	4	-1	16.6	16.0	0.67	14.9	14.5	0.41
Raymond Felton	68	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.39	-3	10	-13	16.7	15.9	0.75	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Derek Anderson	29	29	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.12	12	-5	17	16.3	16.5	-0.23	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Matt Carroll	32	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	2	3	15.0	17.2	-2.20	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Nazr Mohammed	27	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	6	-5	16.5	16.5	0.02	13.9	15.2	-1.31
Othella Harrington	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	7	-7	16.3	16.5	-0.14	15.6	14.8	0.81
Ryan Hollins	4	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.29	-10	17	-27	29.5	15.9	13.62	12.0	15.0	-3.00

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Dickau	13	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.25	8	-15	23	11.1	15.5	-4.38	17.2	16.3	0.90
Aaron Williams	17	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-7	7	15.4	14.7	0.71	16.5	16.5	0.00
Al Thornton	35	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-6	5	14.9	14.8	0.12	16.1	16.8	-0.68
Quinton Ross	51	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.46	11	-18	29	14.4	15.3	-0.91	17.2	15.7	1.49
Brevin Knight	30	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	6	-19	14.9	14.8	0.14	15.5	16.9	-1.44
Tim Thomas	83	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-4	1	14.9	14.3	0.56	16.6	15.1	1.50
Sam Cassell	71	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	7	-21	15.1	13.9	1.27	16.0	18.0	-2.02
Cuttino Mobley	92	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-1	-5	14.8	0.0	14.84	16.5	13.0	3.51
Josh Powell	68	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.14	-17	10	-27	15.3	13.6	1.64	16.7	15.8	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
BOS 100, MIN 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.9%
NYK 95, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%