NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	4.8 [878]		MVP	Raja Bell (PHX): +11.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	1.0 [1020]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (MIN): -8.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	8	94%	0.14	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	9	59%	0.13	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	13	51%	0.04	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.06
Sean Singletary	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	10	71%	0.06	4	-0.05	8	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	45%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Robin Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	55%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	23	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	0.05	7	80%	0.02	5	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	30%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	17	47%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.4	15.7	29.8	1.5	40.5	141.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +55.9%

PHX +10.1%

MIN -28.1%

PHX +7.0%

PHX +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.5	113.4	105.2	106.4
season	14.1	15.8		112.1	104.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		109.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.8	13.6	14.0	17.4	15.1
MIN	18.5	13.6	13.7	13.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	78	78	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	1	6	15.4	14.1	1.34	14.3	15.8	-1.53
Steve Nash	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	-1	10	14.6	15.8	-1.20	15.1	13.8	1.25
Grant Hill	34	32	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	0	8	15.3	15.0	0.25	15.7	14.0	1.69
Shaquille O'Neal	65	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	0	8	14.6	16.2	-1.57	15.5	12.5	2.93
Leandro Barbosa	38	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	2	4	15.4	14.9	0.47	14.7	14.4	0.31
Boris Diaw	44	43	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	3	2	15.6	14.7	0.88	14.6	14.5	0.13
Raja Bell	61	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	6	-4	14.8	15.7	-0.85	14.2	15.2	-0.95
Matt Barnes	63	65	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	8	-8	15.0	15.3	-0.25	14.0	15.7	-1.69
Sean Singletary	41	40	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	9	-10	15.8	14.6	1.20	13.8	15.1	-1.25
Robin Lopez	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	15.2	15.1	0.07	8.0	14.8	-6.84

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collins	41	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-8	8	17.2	12.6	4.65	14.2	15.8	-1.50
Rashad McCants	21	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-10	12	13.0	15.0	-1.93	17.3	14.5	2.81
Mike Miller	57	57	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-8	8	15.3	13.5	1.84	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Sebastian Telfair	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-11	14	13.6	15.2	-1.62	17.1	13.7	3.43
Ryan Gomes	81	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-8	8	14.1	16.7	-2.55	14.4	19.0	-4.57
Kevin Love	32	32	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-1	-6	13.1	15.3	-2.18	15.6	14.9	0.69
Craig Smith	20	18	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	6	-20	13.0	15.0	-1.96	15.3	15.1	0.18
Corey Brewer	42	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	2	-12	13.7	15.2	-1.57	15.6	14.8	0.74
Randy Foye	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	14.2	15.8	-1.60	14.3	18.9	-4.68
Al Jefferson	74	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	0	-8	15.8	10.7	5.12	15.5	13.9	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,0,0	95.6%
CHI 117, NOP 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	95.1%
UTA 98, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%