NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	5.1 [806]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +13.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	1.1 [527]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -13.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.02	-0.02	17	71%	0.19	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Devean George	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.02	-0.02	8	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	73%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	8	41%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	65%	0.12	5	-0.12	4	75%	0.02
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	13	62%	0.09	6	-0.11	8	37%	-0.04
Gary Payton	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	12	42%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	16	62%	0.05	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	20	46%	-0.00	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.14	0.00	-0.07	0.06	16	60%	-0.08	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.0	29.0	16.5	25.6	2.0	38.2	138.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +67.0%

LAC -6.0%

LAL +3.2%

LAC -16.7%

LAL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.8	15.7	108.2	104.0	100.5
season	15.4	15.5		102.8	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.0	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	13.8	15.5	14.4	14.4
LAC	14.8	15.0	15.1	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	81	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	-1	5	14.4	14.4	0.02	14.8	14.8	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	78	78	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	-5	13	14.4	14.3	0.10	15.3	12.9	2.42
Devean George	40	41	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	-3	9	13.1	15.3	-2.20	15.1	14.6	0.58
Karl Malone	82	83	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	3	-3	14.9	12.1	2.75	14.4	16.8	-2.39
Gary Payton	67	67	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.31	-1	4	-5	15.0	13.1	1.95	14.4	15.7	-1.35
Derek Fisher	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-2	7	14.0	14.7	-0.62	15.7	14.3	1.40
Rick Fox	54	55	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.29	-4	7	-11	14.9	13.9	1.03	14.5	15.2	-0.67
Slava Medvedenko	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	4	-5	13.3	14.9	-1.56	14.3	15.0	-0.73
Kareem Rush	17	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	4	-5	14.4	14.4	-0.02	14.8	14.8	0.03
Luke Walton	9	9	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	4	-5	13.6	14.5	-0.96	15.6	14.7	0.82

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-9	15	14.8	14.8	0.05	13.8	14.7	-0.91
Melvin Ely	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	3	-9	14.9	14.8	0.14	14.3	14.5	-0.17
Keyon Dooling	54	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-9	15	14.4	15.3	-0.84	15.1	13.7	1.34
Eddie House	17	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-1	-1	16.4	14.5	1.94	14.6	14.4	0.22
Chris Kaman	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-5	7	15.7	13.9	1.83	15.0	13.8	1.20
Bobby Simmons	31	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-1	-1	13.9	15.2	-1.27	14.1	14.6	-0.43
Predrag Drobnjak	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	1	-5	15.0	14.7	0.23	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Doug Overton	28	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	4	-11	14.6	14.9	-0.33	13.1	14.9	-1.80
Corey Maggette	77	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-5	7	14.8	14.8	0.05	14.8	13.1	1.67
Quentin Richardson	79	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	3	-9	14.6	15.5	-0.93	14.3	14.9	-0.61
Elton Brand	85	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	1	-5	14.7	15.6	-0.97	14.4	14.5	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
LAL 105, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	95.4%
NYK 92, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0	95.0%