NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	5.1 [812]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +13.0%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	1.0 [640]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -7.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13	0.02	0.07	-0.04	39	49%	0.16	2	-0.03	10	70%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Smush Parker	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	10	77%	0.16	7	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Luke Walton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.12	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.04
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	14	52%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	14	43%	-0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	19	53%	0.06	5	-0.13	11	73%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.4	28.4	16.5	29.3	2.5	32.5	136.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +48.7%

BOS -13.2%

LAL +6.7%

LAL +8.7%

BOS -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.6	109.4	101.0	104.4
season	15.6	14.8		106.2	103.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		104.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.1	15.2	17.1	16.7	15.1
BOS	13.1	17.5	14.8	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	82	83	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	3	2	15.0	15.6	-0.62	14.2	19.0	-4.76
Kwame Brown	69	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	1	6	15.2	15.0	0.21	15.0	14.6	0.39
Smush Parker	74	73	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	4	0	14.7	16.4	-1.68	14.0	17.7	-3.70
Lamar Odom	85	86	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	4	0	14.8	17.8	-3.05	14.3	20.3	-6.04
Brian Cook	30	31	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.06	10	-2	12	14.9	15.2	-0.26	14.8	14.9	-0.16
Luke Walton	60	60	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	9	-10	15.1	15.1	0.01	14.9	14.9	0.04
Devean George	34	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	10	-12	16.7	14.2	2.51	15.0	14.8	0.17
Sasha Vujacic	23	23	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	4	0	16.4	14.7	1.68	17.7	14.0	3.70
Jim Jackson	9	10	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	2	4	13.4	15.3	-1.84	19.8	14.3	5.49
Andrew Bynum	8	9	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	4	0	14.1	15.2	-1.08	20.1	14.3	5.77
Ronny Turiaf	6	5	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	9	-10	16.0	15.1	0.94	15.4	14.9	0.54

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	36	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.14	3	-11	14	14.7	15.0	-0.26	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Gerald Green	6	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-5	2	16.2	14.8	1.37	11.2	15.4	-4.21
Al Jefferson	18	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	1	-10	19.1	13.9	5.13	15.2	15.1	0.12
Paul Pierce	78	77	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-9	10	13.3	21.7	-8.35	15.2	14.6	0.60
Orien Greene	21	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	0	-8	19.8	13.5	6.30	15.0	15.1	-0.15
Raef LaFrentz	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-1	-6	14.8	14.9	-0.11	15.0	15.2	-0.13
Wally Szczerbiak	77	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-5	2	15.3	13.1	2.29	15.9	11.8	4.08
Tony Allen	59	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-5	2	14.8	14.9	-0.10	14.5	16.2	-1.73
Delonte West	79	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-5	2	13.7	20.3	-6.57	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Ryan Gomes	60	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	0	-8	14.9	14.8	0.17	15.4	14.6	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, LAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.04,0,0,0	95.4%
DEN 100, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	95.1%
SEA 94, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.17,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.9%