inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 124 Excitement9.6 [91] MVPWill Barton (DEN): +69.3%
Houston Rockets 125 Comeback3.7 [497] LVPJameer Nelson (DEN): -15.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.690,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.690.200.47-0.021377%0.711-0.02580%0.03
Gary Harris0.200,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.160.060.021674%0.293-0.09683%0.01
Juan Hernangomez0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.10.080.030.001162%0.1000.002100%0.01
Jamal Murray0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.05-0.00872%0.173-0.092100%0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.00-0.00480%0.081-0.032100%0.01
Mason Plumlee-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01540%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nikola Jokic-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.12,-0.040.03-0.13-0.061461%0.235-0.278100%0.07
Kenneth Faried-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.00638%-0.004-0.111100%0.00
Jameer Nelson-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15-0.09-0.07-0.01928%-0.072-0.0900%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.22,0.620.620.050.54-0.032957%0.776-0.151182%0.01
Eric Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.20.200.090.110.01982%0.303-0.104100%0.02
Patrick Beverley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.100.090.01978%0.201-0.0200%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.080.011158%0.1300.00250%-0.02
Clint Capela0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.030.00875%0.1200.0000%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.02862%0.0500.0000%0.00
Sam Dekker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00362%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.010.00644%0.031-0.02475%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.03-0.01650%0.061-0.1000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.20.828.714.726.32.032.2131.8
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +58.6%
DEN -36.8%
DEN -11.5%
HOU +36.4%
HOU +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENHOUNBADENHOUNBA
this game13.313.514.8113.8117.9107.7
season14.413.7111.6113.2
opponent14.914.5108.1111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.312.613.014.413.3
HOU11.513.614.814.413.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juan Hernangomez74730.03-0.530.55-0.249-101913.612.61.0614.112.31.78
Emmanuel Mudiay2322-0.09-0.410.32-0.235-61113.113.3-0.2113.913.40.52
Mason Plumlee5253-0.09-0.410.32-0.121-2313.213.4-0.2313.113.9-0.77
Jamal Murray5150-0.09-0.410.31-0.245-61113.413.20.1513.213.7-0.49
Kenneth Faried2623-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-76-1312.813.5-0.6911.714.0-2.36
Gary Harris8987-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.25-43-713.213.6-0.4413.513.6-0.10
Jameer Nelson7169-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.24-87-1513.313.4-0.1113.713.10.69
Will Barton6967-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.593-4713.313.30.0313.213.9-0.71
Nikola Jokic9086-0.690.19-0.87-0.42-98-1713.313.10.2313.812.01.79

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trevor Ariza90910.76-0.261.020.3514-132713.712.31.4013.512.01.55
Clint Capela59590.67-0.170.830.2016-153114.112.71.4013.612.90.65
Patrick Beverley70720.490.010.470.4901-114.012.41.6013.512.90.53
Eric Gordon72740.450.050.390.54-34-713.214.2-1.0413.413.10.22
James Harden87900.350.150.190.292-1313.513.6-0.1013.213.6-0.35
Lou Williams39400.190.31-0.110.132-1312.414.1-1.7213.113.4-0.31
Ryan Anderson54550.040.46-0.41-0.043-2513.813.20.6413.113.4-0.30
Nene4750-0.170.67-0.830.27-1516-3112.714.1-1.4012.913.6-0.65
Sam Dekker1214-0.280.78-1.060.13-1415-2913.013.6-0.5611.913.5-1.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 102, UTA 1080.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.98,192.5%
POR 99, OKC 1050.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.42,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.93,0.89,0.78,1,192.3%
IND 101, DAL 1100.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.77,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.86,0.85,0.97,1,191.7%