NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	99		Excitement	7.7 [320]		MVP	Andre Roberson (OKC): +10.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	105		Comeback	2.2 [710]		LVP	Steven Adams (OKC): -17.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	22	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Maurice Harkless	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	15	58%	0.19	3	-0.17	3	100%	0.02
Noah Vonleh	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	10	48%	-0.00	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	8	35%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	78%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,0,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.08	0.02	34	53%	0.27	4	-0.17	11	82%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.01	18	53%	0.23	4	-0.15	9	78%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	6	58%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	11	27%	-0.08	2	-0.10	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.6	24.4	14.6	24.2	2.4	37.4	131.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +32.5%

POR -9.8%

OKC +28.2%

POR -2.1%

OKC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	15.2	13.7	14.8	100.0	105.0	107.7
season	14.9	14.0		108.6	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.5		106.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.2	15.7	15.3	14.7	15.2
OKC	14.2	14.3	13.5	13.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	48	47	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-12	18	14.8	15.6	-0.88	14.2	13.3	0.91
Meyers Leonard	40	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-12	18	14.2	15.9	-1.67	14.7	13.2	1.50
Allen Crabbe	61	61	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-13	20	14.7	16.0	-1.31	14.4	12.6	1.83
Al-Farouq Aminu	66	65	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-12	18	15.0	15.8	-0.80	14.0	13.3	0.68
Noah Vonleh	30	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.08	-13	7	-20	16.7	14.6	2.12	13.2	14.0	-0.73
Damian Lillard	75	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	15.8	13.5	2.27	13.2	15.4	-2.22
Evan Turner	52	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	4	-14	15.8	14.6	1.23	13.1	14.6	-1.50
Mason Plumlee	58	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.15	-14	8	-22	15.8	14.5	1.30	13.4	14.2	-0.87
CJ McCollum	65	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	7	-20	14.6	16.3	-1.68	13.7	13.8	-0.13

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	71	72	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-8	22	13.3	14.8	-1.45	15.7	13.9	1.83
Victor Oladipo	80	78	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-2	10	13.9	13.0	0.91	15.3	15.0	0.28
Andre Roberson	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-3	12	13.1	15.6	-2.55	15.5	14.4	1.05
Russell Westbrook	75	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	-1	8	13.1	15.8	-2.71	15.5	14.4	1.08
Steven Adams	79	78	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	3	0	14.0	12.9	1.10	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Joffrey Lauvergne	36	35	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	5	-4	14.3	13.4	0.86	15.0	15.3	-0.30
Anthony Morrow	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	2	2	13.8	13.7	0.18	15.7	15.0	0.71
Cameron Payne	29	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	10	-14	15.2	13.1	2.08	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Jerami Grant	17	17	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.16	-12	18	-30	15.4	13.4	2.03	12.5	15.8	-3.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.42,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.93,0.89,0.78,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	92.9%
TOR 85, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.85,0.96,1	92.6%
DEN 124, HOU 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.52,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.84,1	92.3%