NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Excitement	6.4 [545]		MVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): +19.4%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	2.0 [953]		LVP	Mark Blount (MIN): -14.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	14	64%	0.25	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Craig Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.02	0.00	10	67%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.11	-0.02	0.05	16	66%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Marko Jaric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	16	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Mark Blount	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	12	50%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	21	53%	0.19	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	14	61%	0.13	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.02	0.03	9	69%	0.16	3	-0.09	14	79%	0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.05	0.04	8	55%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	68%	0.10	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	5.0	31.5	14.8	24.6	1.8	35.3	137.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.9%

UTA +5.7%

UTA +8.4%

UTA +0.1%

UTA +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.9	15.4	110.9	117.4	104.5
season	15.4	15.9		101.9	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.6		104.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	14.9	16.6	14.5	15.4
UTA	16.2	15.8	16.9	14.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	14	14	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-7	8	14.9	15.5	-0.62	13.9	16.3	-2.44
Mike James	20	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-2	-2	16.0	15.2	0.86	14.8	16.3	-1.44
Craig Smith	40	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-10	14	14.7	15.9	-1.25	16.9	15.1	1.72
Trenton Hassell	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	4	-14	16.6	14.7	1.96	16.8	15.4	1.43
Kevin Garnett	73	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-5	4	15.4	15.4	0.02	15.8	16.4	-0.58
Marko Jaric	59	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-10	14	14.7	16.6	-1.96	15.4	16.8	-1.43
Randy Foye	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-4	2	15.2	16.0	-0.86	16.3	14.8	1.44
Ricky Davis	78	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.33	-7	1	-8	15.5	14.9	0.62	16.3	13.9	2.44
Mark Blount	71	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	9	-24	15.8	14.0	1.73	15.5	17.2	-1.74

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	77	78	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.30	18	-12	30	15.1	20.4	-5.35	15.5	14.7	0.79
Carlos Boozer	76	76	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.20	18	-12	30	15.5	18.0	-2.51	15.1	16.6	-1.51
Mehmet Okur	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-2	10	15.5	17.9	-2.40	15.3	15.6	-0.25
Derek Fisher	54	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-6	18	15.9	16.0	-0.13	15.8	14.8	0.96
Andrei Kirilenko	76	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	5	-4	15.8	16.6	-0.85	15.7	13.9	1.84
Ronnie Brewer	26	26	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	4	-2	16.0	15.9	0.05	15.7	15.3	0.38
Jarron Collins	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	8	-10	17.9	15.5	2.40	15.6	15.3	0.25
CJ Miles	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	9	-12	18.2	15.6	2.56	15.9	15.3	0.60
Dee Brown	25	25	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	16	-26	17.0	15.5	1.42	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Paul Millsap	23	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.17	-14	20	-34	18.7	15.0	3.64	14.8	15.6	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 65, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.92,1	93.2%
POR 99, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.42,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.93,0.89,0.78,1,1	92.9%
ORL 90, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.59,0.67,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.99,1	92.6%