NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	65		Excitement	7.0 [401]		MVP	Howard Eisley (NYK): +9.3%
New York Knicks	72		Comeback	2.9 [524]		LVP	Brian Grant (MIA): -26.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Stepania	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.09	-0.10	12	50%	0.08	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	13	59%	0.02	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Rasual Butler	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Caron Butler	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	11	25%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Mike James	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.12	-0.01	9	39%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.12	-0.12	0.02	11	30%	-0.22	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.08

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.02	7	57%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	10	50%	0.12	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	10	62%	0.12	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	19	55%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	7	24%	-0.10	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	27.2	17.5	24.5	2.5	32.3	131.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +53.1%

NYK +3.7%

MIA -44.3%

NYK +28.9%

NYK +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	19.1	15.6	15.5	78.3	86.7	101.6
season	16.3	15.6		94.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.9		104.0	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.7	19.2	19.5	20.0	19.1
NYK	14.3	17.6	15.6	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	49	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-3	-1	17.2	21.7	-4.49	15.4	15.9	-0.52
Brian Grant	54	56	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-3	-1	19.4	18.5	0.87	16.2	14.5	1.68
Rasual Butler	26	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	21.8	17.8	4.02	15.0	15.9	-0.82
Malik Allen	70	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-2	-3	18.3	23.1	-4.73	15.5	16.2	-0.71
Eddie Jones	78	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-5	3	18.3	32.0	-13.74	16.0	10.0	5.97
Mike James	36	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-4	1	21.0	17.6	3.38	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Caron Butler	62	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	19.0	19.4	-0.46	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Vladimir Stepania	40	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	20.5	17.8	2.73	15.6	15.6	0.07

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	80	80	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.25	13	-6	19	15.2	27.3	-12.16	19.1	17.3	1.82
Clar. Weatherspoon	38	38	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	3	1	16.6	14.8	1.83	21.9	16.7	5.14
Howard Eisley	45	45	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	-6	19	15.4	15.9	-0.47	20.0	18.0	2.00
Othella Harrington	59	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	-1	9	15.7	15.3	0.45	18.6	20.2	-1.54
Kurt Thomas	54	55	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	-3	13	14.7	17.3	-2.61	17.8	21.6	-3.75
Shandon Anderson	35	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	5	-3	15.0	16.0	-1.01	21.3	17.5	3.76
Allan Houston	53	53	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	8	-9	16.2	14.5	1.69	17.2	22.5	-5.35
Charlie Ward	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.28	-6	13	-19	15.9	15.4	0.47	18.0	20.0	-2.00
Travis Knight	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	9	-11	19.5	15.5	3.98	4.0	19.5	-15.46
Michael Doleac	11	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	13	-19	17.4	15.3	2.02	22.9	18.5	4.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.98,1	93.2%
ATL 88, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.6%
BOS 88, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.69,0.71,0.9,1,1	92.4%