NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	6.6 [497]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +36.8%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	2.2 [692]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -25.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	13	69%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Doug Overton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Calbert Cheaney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Tony Battie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Adrian Griffin	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	9	39%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	17	49%	-0.11	4	-0.12	13	85%	0.02
Antoine Walker	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.3,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25	-0.21	-0.06	-0.02	22	28%	-0.18	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.15	0.23	0.01	18	76%	0.45	3	-0.08	13	77%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	70%	0.07	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	14	55%	0.03	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	64%	0.06	5	-0.16	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	32.2	15.5	28.3	2.6	31.0	134.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +81.2%

NYK +5.2%

BOS -24.2%

BOS -15.5%

NYK +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.2	96.7	103.2	101.7
season	14.7	16.1		102.4	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		98.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	15.1	14.7	21.2	16.4
NYK	16.9	13.2	13.5	16.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vitaly Potapenko	55	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-7	6	14.4	19.5	-5.04	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Calbert Cheaney	18	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-6	4	14.8	16.8	-2.06	10.2	15.9	-5.70
Doug Overton	16	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-6	4	19.4	15.8	3.65	13.9	15.1	-1.16
Danny Fortson	29	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-10	12	18.7	15.4	3.32	16.1	14.3	1.83
Eric Williams	25	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-4	0	17.2	16.1	1.06	14.8	14.9	-0.16
Tony Battie	21	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-1	-6	17.6	16.1	1.49	14.0	15.2	-1.17
Adrian Griffin	58	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-3	-2	16.9	15.6	1.24	15.9	13.1	2.89
Kenny Anderson	75	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	15.8	19.4	-3.65	15.1	13.9	1.16
Paul Pierce	80	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	0	-8	16.0	19.5	-3.44	15.0	14.1	0.93
Antoine Walker	78	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	16.9	13.5	3.37	15.0	14.3	0.71

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	81	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.19	15	-7	22	15.0	13.9	1.12	16.4	16.5	-0.04
Larry Johnson	74	76	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-7	22	15.2	13.7	1.45	16.6	15.8	0.75
Allan Houston	83	83	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	1	6	14.9	14.9	-0.01	16.0	21.0	-5.01
Charlie Ward	65	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	-2	12	14.0	16.9	-2.91	15.3	19.0	-3.66
Patrick Ewing	61	59	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	0	8	15.3	14.2	1.12	15.9	17.3	-1.41
Marcus Camby	25	24	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	10	-12	14.6	15.0	-0.45	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Chris Dudley	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	10	-12	10.2	15.4	-5.17	16.1	16.5	-0.33
Kurt Thomas	30	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.22	-10	18	-28	15.7	14.5	1.14	17.9	15.8	2.12
Chris Childs	18	16	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	16	-24	14.4	15.0	-0.56	17.1	16.3	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.86,0.69,0.71,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 89, LAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.98,1	93.5%
GSW 105, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.97,1,1	93.4%
PHI 108, LAC 117	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.96,1,1	92.8%