NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	8.1 [264]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +25.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	99		Comeback	2.5 [536]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -29.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	-0.00	8	64%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
DeJuan Blair	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Ramon Sessions	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Otto Porter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.00	15	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	15	54%	0.04	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Jared Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.28,-0.29	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	19	37%	-0.03	7	-0.27	2	100%	0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.16	0.02	17	63%	0.34	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.03
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	4	73%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.09	0.00	16	46%	0.12	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	11	61%	0.14	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	13	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	5	36%	-0.03	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	34.5	15.6	26.2	2.4	33.5	139.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +52.2%

WAS -5.0%

MIL +18.1%

WAS -12.7%

WAS -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.4	14.9	92.9	98.0	105.1
season	13.8	14.8		104.1	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.6	14.8	16.9	13.4	14.4
MIL	15.6	12.4	14.4	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	48	49	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.18	11	-18	29	14.6	14.2	0.37	14.7	14.1	0.56
DeJuan Blair	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-7	7	16.0	14.4	1.64	20.5	14.3	6.22
Otto Porter	79	79	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-13	19	14.2	15.2	-1.01	14.6	13.6	0.98
Drew Gooden	3	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	16.7	14.3	2.34	10.5	14.6	-4.07
Kelly Oubre	17	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	16.9	13.9	3.08	13.7	14.5	-0.85
Jared Dudley	79	81	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-7	7	14.2	15.2	-1.01	14.7	13.2	1.44
Garrett Temple	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	2	-11	14.8	14.2	0.57	14.5	14.3	0.18
Ramon Sessions	25	26	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	2	-11	14.8	14.2	0.60	12.8	15.0	-2.20
Bradley Beal	76	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-3	-1	14.0	15.6	-1.53	14.5	14.2	0.24
John Wall	85	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	14.2	15.4	-1.21	14.6	12.8	1.88
Nene	49	50	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.11	-18	11	-29	14.1	14.6	-0.50	13.9	14.9	-1.04

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	69	68	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-2	11	14.2	14.9	-0.73	14.2	14.7	-0.46
Rashad Vaughn	30	30	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	-9	25	13.5	14.8	-1.24	15.1	14.1	0.97
Jabari Parker	87	86	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	2	3	14.1	16.4	-2.27	14.3	14.9	-0.61
Jerryd Bayless	44	43	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-6	19	14.4	14.4	0.05	14.0	14.7	-0.74
Giannis Antetokounmpo	75	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	11	-15	14.9	13.0	1.89	14.5	14.0	0.58
O.J. Mayo	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.35	-3	10	-13	14.8	14.2	0.61	13.7	14.9	-1.13
Michael Carter-Williams	43	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-2	11	13.0	15.4	-2.41	15.5	13.6	1.83
Khris Middleton	83	81	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.41	-8	15	-23	15.1	11.1	4.08	14.1	15.7	-1.56
Miles Plumlee	32	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	9	-11	14.9	14.2	0.73	14.7	14.2	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.73,0.85,0.72,0.97,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.96,0.98,1,1	91.3%
DET 100, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.75,0.71,0.9,0.92,1	91.2%
UTA 88, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.71,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.92,1	90.8%