NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	88		Excitement	7.5 [349]		MVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): +14.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	3.6 [375]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -21.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.03
Trevor Booker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.01	4	80%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	67%	0.11	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	7	42%	0.09	2	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03
Joe Ingles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.06	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.07	2	-0.10	6	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	17	41%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	9	26%	-0.15	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	18	60%	0.18	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	2	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.00	11	73%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	10	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	13	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	8	58%	0.09	3	-0.15	3	67%	-0.01
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	8	31%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	29.1	15.4	30.4	2.5	40.5	142.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +35.8%

UTA -14.3%

MEM +7.4%

MEM +22.8%

UTA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	14.9	95.7	102.2	105.1
season	16.3	15.7		104.6	103.4
opponent	14.8	15.0		106.7	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	17.9	13.2	15.5	15.5
MEM	16.5	14.8	17.3	14.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelvin Mack	58	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.38	12	-18	30	15.2	15.9	-0.70	15.4	16.4	-0.96
Trevor Booker	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-3	0	16.1	15.2	0.92	17.0	15.3	1.67
Rudy Gobert	72	75	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.42	13	-19	32	14.6	18.8	-4.22	16.1	14.3	1.85
Raul Neto	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.23	-10	4	-14	16.8	15.1	1.71	16.5	15.6	0.90
Chris Johnson	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	0	-6	14.7	15.7	-0.97	14.5	16.1	-1.56
Joe Ingles	13	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	3	-12	16.0	15.4	0.58	15.6	15.8	-0.25
Gordon Hayward	73	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.36	6	-12	18	14.6	18.8	-4.15	16.0	14.9	1.07
Trey Lyles	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	2	-10	16.4	15.0	1.38	14.6	16.4	-1.74
Trey Burke	37	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	5	-16	16.8	14.6	2.24	15.2	16.2	-1.01
Derrick Favors	55	52	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.18	-12	6	-18	15.9	14.9	0.93	15.7	15.9	-0.26
Rodney Hood	55	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.50	-2	-4	2	15.6	15.4	0.25	16.2	15.2	0.96

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Chalmers	58	58	1.05	-0.55	1.61	0.12	32	-26	58	14.8	17.4	-2.60	16.5	13.7	2.80
Vince Carter	39	40	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.00	25	-19	44	14.4	16.8	-2.38	16.1	15.0	1.06
Lance Stephenson	45	46	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-9	24	15.7	15.9	-0.23	16.4	14.6	1.78
Chris Andersen	51	50	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.56	-4	10	-14	16.6	14.8	1.89	14.9	16.2	-1.27
Ryan Hollins	21	22	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-8	22	13.2	16.6	-3.33	17.6	14.8	2.81
Mike Conley	55	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.52	-7	13	-20	16.3	15.1	1.16	14.7	16.7	-2.02
Jarell Martin	6	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	3	0	15.0	15.9	-0.86	15.7	15.5	0.18
JaMychal Green	37	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.18	7	-1	8	14.8	16.5	-1.66	16.8	14.5	2.25
Zach Randolph	67	65	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.36	-12	18	-30	16.9	12.8	4.18	14.7	17.4	-2.70
Matt Barnes	48	47	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	0.07	-18	24	-42	16.0	15.6	0.41	14.2	16.8	-2.63
PJ Hairston	33	33	-0.56	1.06	-1.63	0.17	-25	31	-56	17.5	14.9	2.62	14.4	16.1	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.71,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.99,1	93.5%
OKC 99, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	91.8%
WAS 92, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.73,0.85,0.72,0.97,0.91,1	90.8%