NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	6.4 [534]		MVP	Darren Collison (IND): +21.2%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	3.0 [315]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -14.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.02	13	77%	0.17	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.02	0.03	13	73%	0.13	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	8	58%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	3	57%	0.14	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Glen Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	67%	0.14	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	5	27%	-0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.12	4	50%	-0.05

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.08	0.01	9	89%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	17	72%	0.21	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	68%	0.14	1	-0.06	4	25%	-0.07
Danny Granger	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	12	62%	0.17	4	-0.12	5	80%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	2	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	28.5	16.0	33.0	2.4	36.6	144.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.4%

BOS -13.1%

IND +18.1%

IND +3.5%

IND +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	16.1	15.5	108.7	116.3	105.7
season	15.7	14.7		104.8	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.8		104.5	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	17.2	14.3	15.7	15.2
IND	17.1	15.5	15.0	17.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	4	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-3	-1	14.2	15.2	-0.95	12.2	16.4	-4.17
Glen Davis	68	68	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-6	5	15.6	13.9	1.69	16.2	16.1	0.08
Kevin Garnett	47	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.41	6	-13	19	14.6	15.7	-1.07	17.4	14.8	2.63
Paul Pierce	75	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.32	3	-10	13	14.7	17.4	-2.69	16.2	16.0	0.17
Rajon Rondo	77	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-9	11	14.7	17.7	-3.07	16.5	14.4	2.06
Ray Allen	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-10	13	14.3	17.7	-3.43	16.9	13.7	3.20
Delonte West	32	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	7	-21	16.9	14.2	2.72	14.3	17.1	-2.79
Jeff Green	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	9	-25	16.1	13.9	2.21	15.6	16.9	-1.24
Nenad Krstic	34	35	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	7	-21	16.0	14.7	1.28	14.6	17.1	-2.49

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	53	51	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.22	24	-17	41	15.1	17.5	-2.43	16.5	13.5	2.93
Brandon Rush	65	63	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.24	19	-12	31	15.7	17.2	-1.48	15.8	13.8	1.95
A.J. Price	40	37	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.00	19	-12	31	14.8	17.2	-2.37	16.9	14.0	2.89
Jeff Foster	28	28	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-6	19	14.9	16.7	-1.85	18.0	13.9	4.13
Dahntay Jones	29	29	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.12	14	-7	21	14.3	17.0	-2.67	17.6	14.0	3.59
Danny Granger	63	63	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.42	-7	14	-21	17.0	14.3	2.67	14.0	17.6	-3.59
Roy Hibbert	63	63	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.28	-7	14	-21	16.8	14.7	2.17	14.0	17.7	-3.64
Darren Collison	52	55	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.29	-12	19	-31	17.2	14.8	2.37	14.0	16.9	-2.89
Paul George	28	29	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.06	-12	19	-31	16.9	15.8	1.08	13.8	15.8	-1.95
Tyler Hansbrough	39	42	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	0.04	-16	23	-39	17.5	15.1	2.43	13.4	16.7	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.48,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.71,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.92,1	93.5%
OKC 99, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	91.3%
CLE 79, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.43,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.86,0.78,0.96,0.99,1	91.3%